W&M Halloween Open 2022

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, October 22, 2022 at 9:00 AM

William & Mary Bee McLeod Recreation Center - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
2 DUELL Jacob P. - - - - 6% 32% 62%
3 MCKINNEY Isaiah - - - 5% 31% 64%
3 WOODLEY Colin - - 3% 18% 45% 34%
5 KLYCZEK Andrew - - - 1% 10% 53% 37%
6 CARTER Austin L. - - 2% 18% 50% 29%
6 SHANKS Aidan T. - - 3% 21% 54% 22%
8 HAYES Nathan P. - - 1% 9% 46% 44%
9 FORMY DUVAL Christopher - - 5% 25% 45% 24%
10 EDRALIN Alexander Jordan Q. - 2% 9% 27% 37% 22% 3%
11 AZIZI Zahl - 5% 23% 40% 26% 5%
12 POWERS Meredith R. - - 3% 19% 45% 34%
13 SEMP Brannon A. - 3% 17% 39% 35% 6%
14 PRICE Owen - - 5% 25% 44% 24%
15 SLACK Mary-Stuart F. - 2% 18% 41% 32% 8%
16 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. - 3% 19% 41% 32% 5% -
17 MAHNKEN Thomas P. - 3% 18% 40% 33% 5%
18 NSUBUGA Jeffrey 1% 9% 35% 40% 14% 1%
19 LE Tan 1% 7% 26% 40% 23% 4% -
20 KASPER Lucia 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
21 HARTMAN Grayson 1% 9% 33% 43% 14% 1%
22 PAQUETTE Emily 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
23 PISTONE Leah 3% 19% 41% 32% 5% -
24 HERRIES Elsa 21% 54% 22% 3% - -
25 REEDER Nicholas W. 5% 26% 39% 23% 5% -
25 ZIMSKY James 6% 30% 41% 19% 4% -
27 SHANKS Jennifer 3% 26% 44% 23% 4% -
28 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel 6% 28% 39% 22% 5% - -
29 HOPSON Ethan 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
30 THOMAS Ryan 21% 47% 26% 5% - -
31 KOKE Kristen 25% 48% 23% 4% - -
32 TREADWAY Ella 34% 44% 19% 3% - - -
33 ROUNTREE Andrew 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
34 MORRIS Luke 13% 38% 36% 12% 2% -
35 CHERRY Samuel 34% 44% 19% 3% - -
36 MILLER Aidan 1% 10% 40% 37% 11% 1%
37 HOCHSTETTER Robert 12% 38% 36% 12% 1% -
38 BRUFFEY Thomas 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
39 JOHNSON Alex 4% 24% 41% 25% 6% -
39 GIBSON Karino 43% 42% 13% 2% - -
41 KANE Rachel 2% 16% 41% 32% 9% 1% -
42 CASTILLO Natalie 36% 44% 17% 3% - -
42 LIU Angela 13% 41% 34% 10% 1% -
44 HO Debbie 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.