W&M Halloween Open 2022

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, October 22, 2022 at 9:00 AM

William & Mary Bee McLeod Recreation Center - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
2 DUELL Jacob P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
3 MCKINNEY Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
3 WOODLEY Colin 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
5 KLYCZEK Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 37%
6 CARTER Austin L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 29%
6 SHANKS Aidan T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 22%
8 HAYES Nathan P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 44%
9 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 24%
10 EDRALIN Alexander Jordan Q. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 3%
11 AZIZI Zahl 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 5%
12 POWERS Meredith R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
13 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 6%
14 PRICE Owen 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 24%
15 SLACK Mary-Stuart F. 100% 100% 98% 80% 39% 8%
16 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 5% -
17 MAHNKEN Thomas P. 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 5%
18 NSUBUGA Jeffrey 100% 99% 90% 55% 15% 1%
19 LE Tan 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 4% -
20 KASPER Lucia 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
21 HARTMAN Grayson 100% 99% 91% 58% 15% 1%
22 PAQUETTE Emily 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
23 PISTONE Leah 100% 97% 78% 38% 5% -
24 HERRIES Elsa 100% 79% 25% 3% - -
25 REEDER Nicholas W. 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% -
25 ZIMSKY James 100% 94% 64% 23% 4% -
27 SHANKS Jennifer 100% 97% 71% 27% 4% -
28 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel 100% 94% 66% 27% 6% - -
29 HOPSON Ethan 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5% -
30 THOMAS Ryan 100% 79% 31% 6% - -
31 KOKE Kristen 100% 75% 27% 4% - -
32 TREADWAY Ella 100% 66% 22% 3% - - -
33 ROUNTREE Andrew 100% 82% 42% 12% 1% -
34 MORRIS Luke 100% 87% 50% 14% 2% -
35 CHERRY Samuel 100% 66% 22% 3% - -
36 MILLER Aidan 100% 99% 89% 50% 12% 1%
37 HOCHSTETTER Robert 100% 88% 49% 13% 1% -
38 BRUFFEY Thomas 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
39 JOHNSON Alex 100% 96% 72% 31% 6% -
39 GIBSON Karino 100% 57% 15% 2% - -
41 KANE Rachel 100% 98% 83% 42% 9% 1% -
42 CASTILLO Natalie 100% 64% 20% 3% - -
42 LIU Angela 100% 87% 45% 11% 1% -
44 HO Debbie 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.