W&M Halloween Open 2022

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, October 22, 2022 at 12:30 PM

William & Mary Bee McLeod Recreation Center - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 STEPHENS Corbin - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
2 HERMES Henry 1% 11% 39% 36% 12% 1%
3 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman - - 3% 19% 44% 33%
3 SHANKS Aidan T. 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
5 CHEN Eric Y. - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
6 INGLE Nathaniel - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
7 ASBY Will 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
8 MONTESI Eric - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
9 MCKINNEY Isaiah - - 4% 19% 43% 35%
10 SHELLY Emery - 9% 30% 38% 19% 4%
11 DREHER Matthew - - 3% 19% 44% 33%
12 PANE Patrick - 6% 25% 39% 24% 6% -
13 ZALEWSKI David 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
14 WHITE Myles - 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
15 WALLACE George 1% 7% 26% 41% 23% 3%
16 ZIMSKY James 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 1%
17 FORMY DUVAL Christopher - - 2% 16% 38% 34% 10%
18 SONVICO Jeremy - 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
19 PALMER Winston 1% 17% 40% 31% 10% 1%
20 ELPURNOMO Aldrin - 6% 22% 37% 27% 8%
21 MORTIMER Gavin - 5% 24% 41% 26% 5%
22 LUNDEN Espen 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 5%
23 HUFFORD Aoife 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
24 MCDOWELL Finn - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
25 GREEAR Colin 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
26 JOHNSON Alex 15% 66% 17% 2% - -
27 BARTLETT Lauren 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
28 PRESBY Alison 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% -
29 VADDE Prateek - 6% 25% 42% 25% 3%
30 LAND Evan 2% 21% 44% 27% 6% -
31 KRONAUGE Andersen 2% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1%
32 VADDE Pranav 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
33 MOSS Elizabeth 1% 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
34 MILLER Aidan 11% 46% 34% 9% 1% -
35 BYRON Heather 69% 26% 4% - - - -
36 PARLETT Jennifer 10% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
37 JARRETT Leela 52% 37% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.