W&M Halloween Open 2022

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, October 22, 2022 at 12:30 PM

William & Mary Bee McLeod Recreation Center - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 STEPHENS Corbin 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
2 HERMES Henry 100% 99% 88% 50% 14% 1%
3 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
3 SHANKS Aidan T. 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
5 CHEN Eric Y. 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 27%
6 INGLE Nathaniel 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
7 ASBY Will 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
8 MONTESI Eric 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
9 MCKINNEY Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
10 SHELLY Emery 100% 100% 91% 60% 23% 4%
11 DREHER Matthew 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 33%
12 PANE Patrick 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
13 ZALEWSKI David 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
14 WHITE Myles 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 5%
15 WALLACE George 100% 99% 93% 67% 25% 3%
16 ZIMSKY James 100% 98% 84% 50% 14% 1%
17 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 10%
18 SONVICO Jeremy 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 7%
19 PALMER Winston 100% 99% 82% 42% 11% 1%
20 ELPURNOMO Aldrin 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8%
21 MORTIMER Gavin 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 5%
22 LUNDEN Espen 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
23 HUFFORD Aoife 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
24 MCDOWELL Finn 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
25 GREEAR Colin 100% 83% 42% 12% 2% -
26 JOHNSON Alex 100% 85% 19% 2% - -
27 BARTLETT Lauren 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% -
28 PRESBY Alison 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% -
29 VADDE Prateek 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 3%
30 LAND Evan 100% 98% 76% 33% 6% -
31 KRONAUGE Andersen 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
32 VADDE Pranav 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
33 MOSS Elizabeth 100% 99% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
34 MILLER Aidan 100% 89% 43% 9% 1% -
35 BYRON Heather 100% 31% 4% - - - -
36 PARLETT Jennifer 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
37 JARRETT Leela 100% 48% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.