W&M Halloween Open 2022

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, October 22, 2022 at 3:30 PM

William & Mary Bee McLeod Recreation Center - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FENG Leo - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
2 SU Landon - - - 3% 19% 48% 30%
3 XU Emily T. 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
3 CLARK Keagan - 1% 7% 28% 46% 19%
5 PATRICK Timothy M. - - 1% 8% 38% 54%
5 FENKER William M. - - 1% 9% 39% 51%
7 BALDWIN Michael B. - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
8 MOLINARO Lawrence - - 5% 23% 43% 29%
9 OTT Alexander - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
10 SEMP Brannon A. - 2% 14% 36% 37% 10%
11 CULLEN Troy A. - 1% 9% 33% 44% 13%
12 TRAYNOR Jake 2% 14% 38% 34% 11% 1%
13 WALKER Terra 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
14 XU Ivan 3% 23% 46% 23% 4% -
15 WUNNAVA Elina 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
15 SHIFFLETT Parker - 3% 18% 37% 32% 9% 1%
17 LE Tan - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 6%
18 BUNCHER Michael - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
19 STAM August M. 9% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
20 ZESSIN Michael A. 1% 7% 27% 40% 22% 4%
21 ZANE Christopher 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
22 CARD Seamus 24% 46% 25% 5% - - -
23 SOPHRONIUS Jeddie 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
24 ROSADO Leah 11% 37% 35% 14% 2% -
25 OLIVER Isaac 8% 33% 37% 17% 4% -
26 REED Michael 5% 26% 40% 24% 5% -
27 XIE Eric - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
27 URIBE David 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% - -
29 CASSIDY Connor J. 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% -
30 JACKSON Evan 3% 22% 43% 28% 4% -
31 PARCELL Colby 15% 51% 28% 5% - -
32 LEE Matthew 2% 17% 40% 31% 9% 1% -
33 ROUADY Ryan 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
34 LESTYAN Cat 18% 39% 31% 10% 2% -
35 WILLIAMS Morgan 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
36 BARR Corinne 6% 57% 32% 5% - -
37 KEESEE Devon 4% 28% 44% 20% 3% -
37 SAKLY Sarah 18% 44% 30% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.