W&M Halloween Open 2022

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, October 22, 2022 at 3:30 PM

William & Mary Bee McLeod Recreation Center - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FENG Leo 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
2 SU Landon 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 30%
3 XU Emily T. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
3 CLARK Keagan 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 19%
5 PATRICK Timothy M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 54%
5 FENKER William M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
7 BALDWIN Michael B. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
8 MOLINARO Lawrence 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
9 OTT Alexander 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
10 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 10%
11 CULLEN Troy A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 13%
12 TRAYNOR Jake 100% 98% 84% 46% 12% 1%
13 WALKER Terra 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
14 XU Ivan 100% 97% 73% 27% 4% -
15 WUNNAVA Elina 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
15 SHIFFLETT Parker 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 10% 1%
17 LE Tan 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
18 BUNCHER Michael 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 5%
19 STAM August M. 100% 91% 56% 20% 4% -
20 ZESSIN Michael A. 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 4%
21 ZANE Christopher 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 3% -
22 CARD Seamus 100% 76% 30% 5% - - -
23 SOPHRONIUS Jeddie 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
24 ROSADO Leah 100% 89% 52% 17% 3% -
25 OLIVER Isaac 100% 92% 58% 21% 4% -
26 REED Michael 100% 95% 69% 29% 5% -
27 XIE Eric 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
27 URIBE David 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
29 CASSIDY Connor J. 100% 81% 37% 8% 1% -
30 JACKSON Evan 100% 97% 75% 33% 5% -
31 PARCELL Colby 100% 85% 33% 5% - -
32 LEE Matthew 100% 98% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
33 ROUADY Ryan 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
34 LESTYAN Cat 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
35 WILLIAMS Morgan 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
36 BARR Corinne 100% 94% 37% 5% - -
37 KEESEE Devon 100% 96% 67% 24% 3% -
37 SAKLY Sarah 100% 82% 38% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.