W&M Halloween Open 2022

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, October 23, 2022 at 9:00 AM

William & Mary Bee McLeod Recreation Center - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
2 CARTER Austin L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 73% 28% 3%
3 DIMMETT David C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
3 WOODLEY Colin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
5 OTT James (Jimmy) P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
6 ZOOK Evan D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
7 HANSEN Lars 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
8 COUGHLIN Nolan E. 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 19% 2%
9 CHEN Eric Y. 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 26% 2%
10 STEPHENS Corbin 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7% -
11 LEE kyungmin 100% 98% 85% 58% 26% 6% 1%
12 WHITE Myles 100% 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
13 MOREY Zachary D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 6%
14 BAGHA Armin 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
15 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 24% 3%
16 GRESHAM Rebekah L. 100% 99% 93% 70% 37% 11% 1%
17 FOREST Sung 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 1%
18 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2%
19 NEWSOME James L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
20 HERMES Henry 100% 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 2%
21 SMITH IV Edward (Ted) A. 100% 100% 99% 85% 52% 18% 2%
22 GRESHAM Sarah L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
23 ZALEWSKI David 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
24 ANDERSON Sr. Danny R. 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
25 LE Tan 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8% 1%
26 SCHAPIRO Jacob 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
27 SHELLY Emery 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
28 WALLACE George 100% 100% 98% 79% 42% 11% 1%
29 JOHNSON Alex 100% 98% 80% 39% 7% 1% -
30 VENHAM Adam 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
31 MILLER Aidan 100% 71% 25% 4% - - -
32 SONVICO Jeremy 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
33 HUNTER Kingsley 100% 90% 48% 9% 1% - -
34 BACO-GAVILAN Luis 100% 96% 76% 38% 11% 1% -
35 ASBY Will 100% 97% 72% 30% 7% 1% -
36 DUCK Parker 100% 92% 32% 5% - - -
37 LUNDEN Espen 100% 88% 50% 13% 2% - -
38 RICHARDSON Katie R. 100% 88% 47% 9% 1% - -
39 REN Yunyan (Tina) 100% 25% 3% - - - -
40 BARTLETT Lauren 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
41 MONTESI Eric 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
42 MCDOWELL Finn 100% 54% 11% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.