W&M Halloween Open 2022

Div III Mixed Saber

Sunday, October 23, 2022 at 3:30 PM

William & Mary Bee McLeod Recreation Center - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 FENKER William M. - - 1% 9% 40% 51%
2 BALDWIN Michael B. - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
3 SEMP Brannon A. - - - 4% 26% 69%
3 CLARK Keagan - 1% 8% 30% 43% 18%
5 CULLEN Troy A. - 2% 10% 31% 40% 17%
6 LE Tan - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
7 MOREY Zachary D. - 3% 19% 42% 29% 6%
8 CARD Seamus 11% 40% 35% 12% 2% -
9 ZHAO Emily W. - 1% 13% 43% 43%
10 LIN Felix 1% 14% 42% 34% 8% -
11 ZESSIN Michael A. 1% 8% 31% 44% 16%
12 CASSIDY Connor J. 4% 21% 40% 27% 7% 1%
13 OTT Alexander - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
14 DREHER Matthew - 4% 29% 45% 20% 3%
15 SHIFFLETT Parker - 1% 15% 46% 31% 6%
15 OLIVER Isaac 2% 16% 40% 34% 7% -
17 WALKER Terra 2% 14% 36% 34% 13% 1%
18 ROUADY Ryan 5% 28% 40% 22% 5% -
19 PARCELL Colby 6% 59% 31% 5% - -
20 CAYABAN Jessica 8% 34% 40% 16% 2%
21 ROSADO Leah 32% 43% 21% 4% - -
22 ZANE Christopher - 8% 30% 41% 20% 2%
23 SMITH IV Edward (Ted) A. - 4% 24% 42% 26% 5%
24 BAKIAN Tristan - 7% 31% 46% 16% 1%
25 URIBE David 13% 36% 35% 15% 3% -
26 TRAYNOR Jake 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
27 BARR Corinne 29% 46% 21% 4% -
28 CARTER Robert - 6% 24% 40% 25% 5%
29 JONES Landon - 6% 25% 39% 25% 4%
30 MENDEL Derron 13% 46% 33% 8% -
31 JACKSON Evan 11% 65% 22% 2% - -
32 LESTYAN Cat 51% 40% 9% - - -
33 WILLIAMS Morgan 70% 26% 4% - - -
34 KEESEE Devon 29% 44% 22% 5% - -
34 SAKLY Sarah 50% 38% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.