W&M Halloween Open 2022

Div III Mixed Saber

Sunday, October 23, 2022 at 3:30 PM

William & Mary Bee McLeod Recreation Center - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 FENKER William M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
2 BALDWIN Michael B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
3 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
3 CLARK Keagan 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
5 CULLEN Troy A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
6 LE Tan 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
7 MOREY Zachary D. 100% 100% 97% 78% 36% 6%
8 CARD Seamus 100% 89% 49% 14% 2% -
9 ZHAO Emily W. 100% 100% 99% 86% 43%
10 LIN Felix 100% 99% 84% 42% 8% -
11 ZESSIN Michael A. 100% 99% 91% 60% 16%
12 CASSIDY Connor J. 100% 96% 75% 35% 8% 1%
13 OTT Alexander 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
14 DREHER Matthew 100% 100% 96% 67% 22% 3%
15 SHIFFLETT Parker 100% 100% 99% 84% 38% 6%
15 OLIVER Isaac 100% 98% 82% 41% 8% -
17 WALKER Terra 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
18 ROUADY Ryan 100% 95% 67% 28% 5% -
19 PARCELL Colby 100% 94% 36% 5% - -
20 CAYABAN Jessica 100% 92% 58% 18% 2%
21 ROSADO Leah 100% 68% 26% 5% - -
22 ZANE Christopher 100% 100% 92% 62% 21% 2%
23 SMITH IV Edward (Ted) A. 100% 100% 96% 72% 31% 5%
24 BAKIAN Tristan 100% 100% 93% 62% 16% 1%
25 URIBE David 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% -
26 TRAYNOR Jake 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4%
27 BARR Corinne 100% 71% 25% 4% -
28 CARTER Robert 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 5%
29 JONES Landon 100% 100% 93% 69% 29% 4%
30 MENDEL Derron 100% 87% 41% 8% -
31 JACKSON Evan 100% 89% 24% 2% - -
32 LESTYAN Cat 100% 49% 9% - - -
33 WILLIAMS Morgan 100% 30% 4% - - -
34 KEESEE Devon 100% 71% 28% 5% 1% -
34 SAKLY Sarah 100% 50% 12% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.