Bay Cup at EBFG: XE1, WE1

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, October 23, 2022 at 2:00 PM

East Bay Fencers Gym - Oakland, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BADGER Peregrine (P Badge) J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
2 PHILIPPINE Matthias A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
3 TEPEDELENLIOGLU Mehmet 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 53%
3 WONG Kevin 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% -
5 ZACHES Torrey 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3%
6 NICHOLSON Dominic A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 33% 5%
7 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
8 JAKLITSCH Michael (Mike) T. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
9 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 18%
10 HE Zhiheng 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
11 WICKBOLDT Eric 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9% -
12 NICHOLSON Dimitri E. 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 10%
13 STCLAIR Jake 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% -
14 HE Wei 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 4%
15 KONG Martin C. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
16 HARGROVE Charles 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
17 CHEN Steve 100% 95% 71% 31% 6% -
18 SIRBU Dan 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
19 COHEN Benjamin A. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
20 GUPTA Karan 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2% -
21 CHUNG Kimberly L. 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
22 ARTESONA Gerard 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
23 CHA Eugenie 100% 83% 45% 15% 2% -
24 CHOI Zachary 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
25 SLOAN Ryan 100% 95% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
26 HARGROVE Kai 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
27 CHIEM Karen 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
28 LOGUE Paul 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
29 PERALTA Christian 100% 99% 92% 72% 40% 14% 2%
30 OU wei 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% -
31 ROOD Alex 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
32 MAYCHROWITZ Matt 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 32% 4%
33 SITTER Gregoire 100% 96% 69% 27% 4% -
34 RATH Lauren N. 100% 94% 64% 24% 4% -
35 AIRES Julia 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% -
36 HOFMAN Haejung 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
37 AGHAZARIAN Samuel G. 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
38 RICH Caroline B. 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
39 ALLEGRETTI Zachary T. 100% 95% 71% 30% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.