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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Thrust Winter RYC RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Sunday, February 10, 2019 at 12:00 PM

Suffern, NY - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MORRILL Justin - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
2 WOLFE-MCGUIRE George T. - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
3 KUSHKOV Veniamin - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
3 SHIRPAL Oleksandr - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
5 WILSON Jude - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
6 KIM-COGAN Ryan - - - 3% 20% 46% 32%
7 SHOMAN Zachary - - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7%
8 NOURELDIN Gabriel - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4%
9 GOLD Jackson - - 3% 18% 47% 32%
10 LEE Justin - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
11 HUANG Ethan F. - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
12 LIU Kelly - 2% 20% 42% 31% 5%
13 KIM Shaun M. 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
14 YUAN Kevin - 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
15 SPOSATO Andrew P. 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% -
16 HUANG Tyler T. - 4% 21% 40% 29% 5%
17 ZHENG Edward L. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
17 WONG Ryan - 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 4%
19 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
20 WU Wilmund 2% 15% 35% 33% 14% 2% < 1%
21 KOGAN Benjamin - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
22 SKINNER Graham B. - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 20%
23 HUANG Alexander C. - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
24 HU Andrew - 3% 16% 37% 34% 11%
25 HONG Vincent Q. - - 3% 19% 47% 31%
26 CLYMER Lucas Y. - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
27 CHIEN Winston L. - 3% 23% 39% 27% 8% 1%
28 ZHANG Jeffrey - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
29 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
30 MALONE Gregory D. 6% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1%
31 HO Kaden M. 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
32 NOBLE Colin 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 1%
33 KIM Matthew 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
34 HUANG Maxwell H. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
35 DOLAN Charles R. 12% 35% 36% 15% 2% -
36 LEONARD Charles - 7% 34% 40% 17% 2%
37 PANDEY Neil 3% 22% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
38 KOVACH Jonah F. - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
39 ALTIRS Alexander - 1% 16% 37% 32% 12% 2%
40 SANDERS Samuel B. 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
41 HAN Daniel Y. 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
42 BURDAN Gabriel - 6% 25% 39% 24% 5% -
43 SHTEIN Yan - 3% 20% 42% 30% 6%
44 RODE Leon J. - 2% 11% 31% 38% 18%
45 MORALES Jonathan 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% 1%
46 SKABICH Nicholas 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
47 RAUSCHER Ryan 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
48 GEORGE Daniel 6% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
49 MCCARTHY Gabriel 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
50 PENTLAND Craig 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
51 KESSLER Josh 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
52 CHAN Austin 1% 10% 26% 34% 21% 6% 1%
53 DAI William 31% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
54 OH Triton 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 2%
55 LEUNG Andrew K. 2% 17% 37% 33% 10% 1%
57 SMITH Vaughn 18% 44% 29% 7% 1% -
58 SHOMAN Noah - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
59 OVERDECK Andrew 22% 57% 18% 2% - - -
60 RUIGOMEZ Eduardo 2% 14% 35% 33% 14% 2% -
61 KOGAN Nikita - 1% 5% 22% 38% 28% 6%
62 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 2% 15% 35% 33% 14% 2% -
63 ZENG Noah 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
64 SHIPITSIN Yaroslav 66% 33% 2% - - - -
65 LIN Stephen 22% 54% 21% 3% - -
66 BELLUCCI Nicholas 8% 32% 39% 18% 3% -
67 EPSTEIN Oliver D. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 15% 2%
69 HYMES Matthew 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
70 WOLF Gabriel M. 11% 33% 36% 16% 3% - -
71 SHI Erick 27% 44% 23% 5% - -
72 YURT Vehbi 56% 38% 6% - - -
73 BELZ Filip 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.