MFA Friday Sanctioned Epee - Unrated fencers only

Unrated Mixed Épée

Friday, October 28, 2022 at 7:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CLAES Lucas 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% < 1%
2 CHENG Zijun 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
3 SALISTRA Emilia 100% 99% 85% 47% 12% 1%
3 CHATTHA Amrik 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
5 STOREY Liam 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
6 ABECK Eden 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
7 HOROWITZ David S. 100% 97% 78% 41% 10% -
8 BENNETT Peter 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% -
9 HOROWITZ Jacob 100% 99% 85% 47% 13% 1%
10 CONTI Braeden 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5%
11 KAUR Jaap 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
12 MORRIS GOTHREAU James 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.