Tidewater Open - 50th Anniversary

Y-14 Mixed Foil

Saturday, October 29, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Tidewater Fencing Club - Chesapeake, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SAY Preston 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
2 SHEA Aleksander 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 8%
3 VOCES Mason 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
3 GUARDIOLA Emily 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
5 SCANLON Ian 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
6 LOVELACE Vander 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 7%
7 WITTKOWER Elijah 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
8 LAMBERT Luke 100% 98% 77% 37% 8% 1%
9 CHEN Hendrick 100% 87% 48% 11% 1% -
10 FISCHMAN Phoebe 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2%
11 STRUMLAUF Jacob 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7%
12 TENNYSON Carter 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
13 DUCROUX Gabriel 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
13 LOVELACE Pepper 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
15 BYRNE Ethan 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
16 DAVIS Max 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 1%
17 BREWER Gracie 100% 97% 75% 35% 8% 1%
18 HARPER Adelaide 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.