AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC (D1A/VET)

Y-12 Women's Foil

Friday, November 4, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SAIFEE Lamya 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
2 HO Addison 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
3 HSU Kaylin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
3 SWANSON Alexa 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
5 BROWN Lola 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
6 BEAVER Ava 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
7 REN Kayley 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
8 DUAN Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
9 DENG Melissa 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
10 ZHANG Soleil C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 58%
11 GUO Audrey 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 1%
12 ZHANG Gwenyth 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 3%
13 LEVESQUE Brielle 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
14 TAO Ann 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16% 1%
14 KIM Sydney 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 27% 4%
16 ZOU Ella 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 15%
17 ZHANG Ivy 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 15%
18 HAN Gian 100% 100% 95% 69% 25% 3%
19 KRYLTSOVA Eva 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
20 POEI Lauren 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
21 DESERANNO Seren 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 8%
22 MA Isabelle 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
23 YONG Rosalind 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
24 MIYASHIRO Katelyn 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
25 CHOI Sophie 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 2% -
26 BAE Yooju 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 20% 2%
27 CHAN Mila 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 6%
28 SOE Hayleigh 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
29 LI Joy 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11% 1%
30 YAO Abby 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
31 LI Alice 100% 96% 74% 37% 8% 1% -
32 ZEE Savannah 100% 93% 60% 22% 4% - -
33 LIU Ariana 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6% -
34 LIN Allison 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
35 TULYAG Sayda 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
36 DENG Claire 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% -
37 PARK Lauren 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
38 FUNG Sarafina 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
39 HOM Avery 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
40 CHO Karis 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
41 ZHANG Viviana 100% 98% 79% 38% 9% 1%
42 LUCAS Ava 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% - -
43 TAN Shouyin 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 1%
44 WU Elynna 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16% 1%
45 NAYGAS Alexandra 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 3% -
46 LU Keeva 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1% -
47 HAN Mia 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
48 WU Chingfei Amber 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
49 LIU Angelina 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% - -
50 WU Allison 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
51 KIM Natalie 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 15% 2%
52 HUGHES Olivia 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
53 ZHOU Joi 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
54 SAH Madeleine 100% 39% 7% 1% - -
55 LEE Zoe 100% 95% 61% 21% 4% -
56 RUI Jessie 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
57 CHANG Lydia 100% 99% 86% 52% 19% 3% -
58 MA Yifei 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% - -
59 HOM Emma 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
60 YU Sophie 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
61 SAIFEE Zahra 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
62 MCLANAHAN Jasmine 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
63 LIM Kora 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
64 TAI Taphanie 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
65 CHEN Elysia 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
66 HSIAO Ariya 100% 68% 22% 3% - - -
67 TAI Penelope 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
67 LIM Kensie 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% - -
67 THANT Alexis 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.