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AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC (D1A/VET)

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, November 6, 2022 at 1:30 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KO Brian J. - - - - 2% 19% 79%
2 DIERKS Kian - - - 4% 19% 44% 34%
3 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - - - 1% 8% 35% 57%
3 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden - - 5% 21% 39% 29% 5%
5 DESERANNO Jeidus - - - - 3% 23% 74%
6 OTAKE Jared K. - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
7 MA Andrew - - 3% 23% 44% 25% 4%
8 HOBSON Aaron K. - - 1% 10% 30% 42% 17%
9 CHENG Nathan - - - 5% 26% 47% 23%
10 WANG Ethan - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
11 KIM Ryan Y. - 1% 7% 25% 43% 25%
12 GOBBO Alexander - - 3% 14% 35% 38% 10%
13 SUNG Chang-Han S. - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
14 YU Anders - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
15 DESAI Nalin H. - - - 3% 18% 45% 34%
16 MYERS Dean - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 1%
17 KUZMAK Michael J. - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
18 DINSAY Kristjan A. - 4% 18% 34% 31% 11% 1%
19 SEEDS Edward T. 2% 14% 36% 34% 13% 1%
20 LI Jett 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 2%
21 SETLUR Bhrugu 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2% -
22 LIPPMAN Sam - 2% 11% 30% 37% 18% 2%
23 LI Avery Peihong - 2% 11% 31% 37% 17% 1%
24 KHER Roan - 5% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
25 LLIDO Soren - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% -
26 FINNEY Lorenz 3% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
27 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. - 1% 12% 42% 35% 9% 1%
28 WALL Peter M. 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
29 EDISON Ansel 33% 42% 20% 4% - -
30 MARTIN IV Elmer D. - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
31 RUBIN Max 5% 29% 38% 21% 6% 1% -
32 CORTRIGHT Skipper - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
33 CRACRAFT John R. 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2%
34 PARK Sky 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
35 LI Matthew - 4% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
36 SHAGIDANYAN German 1% 10% 31% 38% 18% 2%
37 ZHENG zhe - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 2%
38 BAEK David 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
39 SEAL Maximus R. - 2% 14% 33% 35% 14% 1%
40 HARRIS Otto 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
41 LI Samuel 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
42 OH Jaden - 6% 23% 39% 26% 5%
43 WU Lucas 5% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1%
44 GETSIN Anthony 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
45 WU Alistair 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2%
46 CLAYMAN John A. - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 9%
47 MAK Osman K. 37% 43% 17% 3% - - -
48 TKACHUK Daniel 1% 18% 53% 24% 4% - -
49 CHAN Connor 33% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
50 SMITH Grant D. 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 6% -
51 FLANAGAN Miles 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
52 KALAMAS Nikolas 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
53 GONZALEZ Matthew 6% 32% 39% 19% 4% -
54 GREENEBAUM Oliver 51% 38% 10% 1% - -
55 GORDON William L. 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
56 LUTTON Thomas (Tom) W. - 4% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
57 LAM Nicolas 9% 34% 37% 17% 3% - -
58 RASMUSSEN Sage 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
59 BOUCHARD Kai 10% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
60 LEE Jayden 7% 32% 38% 19% 4% - -
61 HSIAO Nicholas 11% 32% 34% 18% 4% - -
62 PINCHENG Yao 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
63 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 6% 27% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
64 REICHEL Ezra 16% 42% 31% 10% 1% - -
65 PETERSON Lucas 15% 59% 24% 2% - - -
66 FLANAGAN James 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
67 PERALTA Christian 63% 31% 6% - - - -
68 HOHN dana 70% 28% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.