Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Saber

Saturday, November 5, 2022 at 4:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DUCKETT Madison - - - 1% 15% 84%
2 JOHNSON Dagny L. - - - 1% 8% 35% 55%
3 ZHANG Sophie - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
3 ATTIA Jasmine 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
5 FESTA Carina - - - 2% 13% 42% 43%
6 MUND Ruth - - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
7 KHAN Alissa - 4% 16% 33% 34% 14%
8 LIU Yifei - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
9 MCKEE Brynnley - - - 1% 12% 40% 47%
10 FEIG Sela - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 23%
11 KANDADAI Lara 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
12 YOUNG Audrey - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
13 YOUNG Charlotte G. - - 1% 9% 32% 43% 15%
14 GOMERMAN Sophia 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
15 MCKEE Ainsley - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
16 BIRNSTILL Reese 5% 39% 41% 13% 1% -
17 MONTORIO Lily M. - - 4% 20% 41% 29% 6%
18 GUGALA Hanna - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
19 ZENG Sarah - 1% 12% 34% 38% 14%
20 BUSH Bethany 1% 8% 31% 38% 19% 3%
21 MANKOVA Varvara - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
22 MARGULIAN Maria - 3% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1%
23 FLATT Sophia - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
24 ZHENG Valentina - - 3% 17% 39% 34% 8%
25 NAYAK Esha - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 4%
26 SHINCHUK Ellisha - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
27 CHAVAN Arya - 1% 10% 33% 38% 15% 2%
28 BAWA Anahat - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4%
29 MURRAY Audrey A. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2%
29 MYAT Chloe - 3% 18% 39% 32% 9%
31 DAI Olivia - 2% 17% 44% 34% 3%
32 MAGITSKY Leila 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
33 NAYAK Anika 1% 5% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
34 CHIANG Melissa - 4% 24% 45% 24% 1%
35 MALEK Zolie 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
36 LI Alexis 2% 22% 45% 26% 5% -
37 LAGOON Miriam 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1%
38 FREEMAN Armine - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
39 BORGUETA Madison - 4% 22% 41% 27% 7% -
40 WOTZAK Kaia 2% 18% 42% 30% 8% 1% -
41 LOPEZ-ONA Mia 4% 20% 34% 29% 12% 2%
42 LAURI Keira 14% 37% 33% 14% 3% -
42 AKULA Roszlynn 25% 50% 21% 4% - -
44 BIBLER Anna 2% 21% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
45 SRINATH Lyra A. 1% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
46 STRIZHEVSKY Ariel 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
47 KHOST Maeve 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
48 CHANG Elle 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
49 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 3% 25% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
50 SVENSSON Siri Lin 19% 46% 28% 6% 1% - -
51 PROZUMENT Elizabeth 16% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
52 HARRISON Allie 64% 31% 5% - - - -
53 MERCHANT Aishwarya 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
54 BEN SHAHAR-PYKE Lola Rae 74% 23% 2% - - -
54 SULLIVAN Siobhan 41% 44% 13% 2% - -
56 OPITZ Allyson 45% 43% 11% 1% - - -
57 CHAMPAGNE Valentine 66% 29% 5% - - - -
58 KONNIKOV Esther E. 7% 40% 38% 12% 2% - -
58 HORVITZ Jacqueline 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.