Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Saber

Saturday, November 5, 2022 at 4:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DUCKETT Madison 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
2 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
3 ZHANG Sophie 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 40% 9%
3 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 2%
5 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
6 MUND Ruth 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
7 KHAN Alissa 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 14%
8 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
9 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
10 FEIG Sela 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
11 KANDADAI Lara 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
12 YOUNG Audrey 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
13 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 15%
14 GOMERMAN Sophia 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
15 MCKEE Ainsley 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
16 BIRNSTILL Reese 100% 95% 56% 15% 1% -
17 MONTORIO Lily M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 6%
18 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
19 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
20 BUSH Bethany 100% 99% 91% 60% 22% 3%
21 MANKOVA Varvara 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
22 MARGULIAN Maria 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 10% 1%
23 FLATT Sophia 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
24 ZHENG Valentina 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
25 NAYAK Esha 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 4%
26 SHINCHUK Ellisha 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
27 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 17% 2%
28 BAWA Anahat 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
29 MURRAY Audrey A. 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2%
29 MYAT Chloe 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 9%
31 DAI Olivia 100% 100% 98% 80% 37% 3%
32 MAGITSKY Leila 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
33 NAYAK Anika 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
34 CHIANG Melissa 100% 100% 96% 71% 26% 1%
35 MALEK Zolie 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
36 LI Alexis 100% 98% 76% 31% 5% -
37 LAGOON Miriam 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%
38 FREEMAN Armine 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
39 BORGUETA Madison 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 7% -
40 WOTZAK Kaia 100% 98% 80% 39% 9% 1% -
41 LOPEZ-ONA Mia 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2%
42 LAURI Keira 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% -
42 AKULA Roszlynn 100% 75% 25% 4% - -
44 BIBLER Anna 100% 98% 77% 34% 7% 1% -
45 SRINATH Lyra A. 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
46 STRIZHEVSKY Ariel 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
47 KHOST Maeve 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
48 CHANG Elle 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 2% -
49 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 100% 97% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
50 SVENSSON Siri Lin 100% 81% 34% 7% 1% - -
51 PROZUMENT Elizabeth 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
52 HARRISON Allie 100% 36% 5% - - - -
53 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 96% 76% 43% 14% 2%
54 BEN SHAHAR-PYKE Lola Rae 100% 26% 2% - - -
54 SULLIVAN Siobhan 100% 59% 15% 2% - -
56 OPITZ Allyson 100% 55% 12% 1% - - -
57 CHAMPAGNE Valentine 100% 34% 5% - - - -
58 KONNIKOV Esther E. 100% 93% 52% 14% 2% - -
58 HORVITZ Jacqueline 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.