The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, November 6, 2022 at 8:15 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 MI Aileen V V V V V V V V V V V 5.8 6 +0.2
2 PAULUS Sloane E. V D V V V V V V V D 4.3 4 -0.3
3 YANG Emma V D V V V V V V D 4.1 4 -0.1
3 LI Eleanor V V D D V D V V V V D 3.8 3 -0.8
5 WANG Amabel V V V V V V V D 3.3 5 +1.7
6 BRYZGALOVA Svitlana V V V V V V V D 4.8 5 +0.2
7 PEVZNER Nicole V V D V V V V D 2.8 4 +1.2
8 SHA Yi Ling V D V D V V V D 4.2 3 -1.2
9 ZHANG Selena V V V V V V D 3.8 5 +1.2
10 WANG Jasmine V V V V D V D 4.1 4 -0.1
11 HAO Danica D V V V V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
12 KAPRAN Anastasia D V V V V V D 2.9 4 +1.1
13 GREENLEAF Ella V V D V V V D 2.8 4 +1.2
14 CHO Emily (Euran) D V V V D V D 3.0 3 -
15 FIELD Elizabeth V D V D V V D 3.0 3 -
16 WANG Joanna D V D V V D V V D 3.1 3 -0.1
17 TANG Melody Fujiao V V V V D D 3.2 4 +0.8
18 ZHOU Sophia V V D V V D 2.8 4 +1.2
19 SHENG Katherine V D V V D D 2.2 3 +0.8
20 YURKOVA Mariia D V V D V D 4.4 3 -1.4
21 JOO Natalie D V V V D D 4.0 3 -1.0
22 LIN Yunong V V D D V D 1.8 3 +1.2
23 ZELDIN Nadia V V D V D D 1.4 3 +1.6
24 FENG Audrey D V D V D V V D 2.4 3 +0.6
25 HARRIS Julia D D V V D V V D 3.5 3 -0.5
26 YU Jane D V V D D V D 1.9 2 +0.1
27 FIELD Julianna V D D D V V D 3.3 2 -1.3
28 CHEN Sophie V D V D D V D 1.6 2 +0.4
29 POPOVA Polina D D D V D V D 1.9 1 -0.9
30 LI Savannah D V D D D V D 1.6 1 -0.6
31 ZHANG Zoey D D V D D V D 0.6 1 +0.4
32 CARON Josie D D D D D V D 1.6 0 -1.6
33 REZA Fukaina V D V D D V D 1.7 3 +1.3
34 WANG Selina D D D V V D 0.7 2 +1.3
35 LI Beryl V D D D D D 1.4 1 -0.4
36 BING Charlotte D D D D V D 1.6 1 -0.6
37 JIN Amie D V D D D D 1.2 1 -0.2
38 MURPHY Charlotte D D D D V D 0.8 1 +0.2
39 LAZAR Carolina D D D D D D 1.8 0 -1.8
40 LI Xiang (Shining) D D D D D D 0.5 0 -0.5
41 MORGESON Olivia D D D D D D 1.2 0 -1.2
42 LI Yixin Catherine D D D D D D D 0.8 0 -0.8
43 DE DIOS Danica Arwen D D D D D D 1.8 0 -1.8

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.