Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, November 6, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
2 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
3 CHIANG Emily 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 28%
3 MUND Ruth 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 12%
5 YUAN Greta 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
6 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 12%
7 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
8 CHIANG Melissa 100% 89% 56% 21% 3% -
9 YANG Ashley M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
10 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
11 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
12 LU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 23%
13 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 20%
14 GOMERMAN Sophia 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 4% -
15 MONTORIO Lily M. 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
16 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 7%
17 WEBER Juliana I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 31%
18 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
19 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 98% 74% 34% 8% 1%
20 ZHENG Valentina 100% 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
21 LUKASHENKO Angelina 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
22 ZHANG Sophie 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
23 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 100% 100% 91% 62% 24% 4%
24 NAYAK Esha 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2%
25 KHAN Alissa 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
26 ZHANG Ruijia Alexa 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
27 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
28 NAYAK Indra 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3%
29 CHOU Amy R. 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% - -
30 MYAT Chloe 100% 100% 92% 61% 22% 4% -
31 CHARLES Caitlin 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
32 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
33 YOUNG Audrey 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
34 SO Catelyn 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 9%
35 YAN Lena 100% 99% 69% 25% 4% -
36 SHINCHUK Ellisha 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
37 LAGOON Miriam 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
38 BAWA Anahat 100% 100% 83% 41% 9% 1%
39 DAI Olivia 100% 94% 67% 30% 6% -
40 CHAVAN Arya 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
41 NEUMAN Ella 100% 90% 50% 14% 2% -
42 LI Alexis 100% 76% 31% 6% 1% -
43 BIRNSTILL Reese 100% 67% 24% 5% - -
44 MCKEE Ainsley 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
45 MALEK Zolie 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 2% -
46 MARGULIAN Maria 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
47 JOHNSTON Lily 100% 100% 91% 56% 16% 2%
48 FLATT Sophia 100% 99% 84% 48% 14% 2%
49 WOTZAK Kaia 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
50 LOPEZ-ONA Mia 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
51 OPITZ Allyson 100% 28% 2% - - - -
52 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
53 AKULA Roszlynn 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
54 NAYAK Anika 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
55 HARRISON Allie 100% 4% - - - -
56 SULLIVAN Siobhan 100% 23% 2% - - -
57 TAYLOR Lindsay 100% 96% 73% 32% 6% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.