AFM Div1A ROC

Div I-A Women's Épée

Saturday, September 7, 2019 at 1:00 PM

Sunnyvale, CA - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 BULAVKO Sonia V V V V V V V V V V V 5.2 6 +0.8
2 YEU Irene V V V V V V V V V V D 5.5 6 +0.5
3 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. V V V V V V V V V D 5.6 6 +0.4
3 MACHULSKY Leehi V V V V V V V V D 4.4 5 +0.6
5 ZUHARS Renee A. V V V V V V V D 4.1 5 +0.9
6 WANG Nora V V D V V V V V V D 4.1 5 +0.9
7 CHEN Lefu V D V V V V V V D 4.3 4 -0.3
8 LEUNG Natalie V V V V D V V V D 4.1 4 -0.1
9 CHU Audrey V V V V V V D 3.2 5 +1.8
10 TAYLOR Audrey Y. V V V V V V D 3.8 5 +1.2
11 PRIMES Amanda M. V V V V D V V V D 3.3 5 +1.7
12 ROTHMAN-HALL Bronwyn R. V D D V V V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
13 LAN Alice S. V V V D D V V V D 3.9 4 +0.1
14 NGUYEN Kaylin A. V V V D D V V D 3.4 3 -0.4
15 GERARDIN Marie D V V D V V V D 2.6 3 +0.4
16 QURESHI Aafreen D V D D D V V D 2.8 1 -1.8
17 CHAN Cheri K. V D V V V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
18 VACCA Erica D V V V V V D 1.5 4 +2.5
19 MOHABIR Ariane V V V V D V D 3.2 4 +0.8
20 BEI Karen D V V V V D V D 4.4 4 -0.4
21 MONTOYA Amy C. D V V V V D V D 3.4 4 +0.6
22 WILEY Erica D V D V V V D 3.6 3 -0.6
23 SOIN Anika A. V D V D V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
24 SIVAGAR Fiona V V D D V V D 1.9 3 +1.1
25 LEANG Andrea K. D D V V V V D 3.4 3 -0.4
26 CHIRASHNYA Noya D V V V D V D 2.5 3 +0.5
27 LIU Jennifer L. D V D V V V D 3.5 3 -0.5
28 GALLON Maya S. V V V D D V D 2.4 3 +0.6
29 LI Charlotte D D D V V V V D 2.4 3 +0.6
30 RATH Lauren N. V D D V D V D 3.0 2 -1.0
31 LEANG Priscilla Y. V D D V D V D 2.9 2 -0.9
32 LAVERY Chloe K. V D D D V V D 2.8 2 -0.8
33 DING Sandra V V D D V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
34 PARKER Jacquie D. D V D D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
35 SINHA Zara D D V D V D 1.5 2 +0.5
36 DU Angela D D D V V D 1.3 2 +0.7
37 JIANG Corina D D V D V D 2.0 2 -
38 DHILLON Amani D V V D D D D 2.5 2 -0.5
39 ESTRADA Anna G. V D D D D V D 1.6 2 +0.4
39 BONDAR Nika D D V D D V D 1.7 2 +0.3
41 LEE Kaitlyn M. D V D D V D D 2.2 2 -0.2
42 WILLIAMS Sarah D D V V D D D 2.6 2 -0.6
43 HSU Adele Y. D V D D D D 1.0 1 -
43 ZHANG Chuyi V D D D D D 1.6 1 -0.6
45 HAU Olivia V D D D D D 2.0 1 -1.0
46 LUO Xiao Ran V D D D D D 2.2 1 -1.2
47 RICH Caroline B. D D V D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
48 FELAND Alexandra D D D V D D 1.4 1 -0.4
49 PACHECO Naomi D V D D D D 1.4 1 -0.4
50 DHILLON Ria D D V D D D 1.1 1 -0.1
51 HUANG audrey D D D V D D D 3.0 1 -2.0
52 YIN Grace D V D D D D D 1.4 1 -0.4
53 HOFMAN Haejung D D D D D D D 1.3 0 -1.3
54 ZHOU Ashlee D D D D D D 0.5 0 -0.5
55 MUNEYB Muntaha Sana D D D D D D D 0.5 0 -0.5
56 LOUIE Sarah D D D D D D D 1.0 0 -1.0
57 DALEY Keira D D D D D D 0.2 0 -0.2

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.