Daugherty Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC Foil and Epee only

Div II Men's Foil

Saturday, November 5, 2022 at 4:00 PM

Moolah Shrine Center - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TSAO Lukas - - 1% 9% 30% 43% 17%
2 CHOE Jayden K. - - - 1% 13% 47% 39%
3 JAUME Andrei - - - 2% 14% 43% 42%
3 SMITH Erick - - - 1% 17% 51% 30%
5 BOYKO Miles - - 2% 16% 51% 28% 4%
6 WILKINS Mateo - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
7 SANTOS Carlos R. - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
8 METTE Russell - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 8%
9 LOCKWOOD Jacob 7% 29% 40% 21% 3% - -
10 GNEUHS Sam - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
11 BIESIADA Jan 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
12 WAKEHAM Paul 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 2% -
13 FAN Yuchen 2% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
14 PARK Stephen 4% 20% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
15 STANTON Richard - 4% 20% 37% 29% 8% 1%
16 WINGLER Cole 19% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
17 HOWLAND Jonas 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
18 WEISS Quintin 7% 30% 40% 20% 2% - -
19 WEI Thomas 68% 28% 4% - - - -
20 ELDRIDGE David 10% 35% 38% 15% 1% - -
21 MORRISON Eddie 22% 42% 28% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.