Turkey Day Slay at NKFA

Div II Mixed Épée

Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 11:00 AM

NKY Fencing Academy (NKFA) - Ludlow, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MANAUGH Guy 100% 100% 88% 48% 10%
2 BARTCH Ethan 100% 99% 93% 64% 20%
3 BETTS Jr Anthony P. 100% 94% 68% 30% 6%
3 AGUILAR Nicolas 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 5%
5 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
6 ADAMISIN Brayden 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
7 RESS Michael 100% 99% 85% 50% 13%
8 BOTNER Olivia 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
9 WRIGHT Dylan 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 13%
10 MILLER Zach 100% 99% 91% 57% 16% 2%
11 PIERCE Marcia 100% 97% 78% 39% 8%
12 SCHNUR Luke 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
13 BETTRIDGE Jessica 100% 94% 64% 19% -
13 LEWTON Grace 100% 87% 48% 12% 1%
15 CROSS Ryan 100% 98% 87% 54% 16%
16 KISH Daniel 100% 99% 88% 52% 13%
17 DEMANGONE Reed 100% 92% 61% 22% 3%
18 YORKE Aaron 100% 94% 68% 29% 5%
19 BYRNSIDE Caleb 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4%
21 KLYSHEVA Elina 100% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
22 TLUCHOWSKI Sam 100% 92% 59% 19% 2%
23 DIDAY Griffen 100% 92% 62% 24% 4%
24 LINDENBERG Evan 100% 85% 45% 12% 1%
25 NELSON Meghan 100% 77% 30% 5% -
26 NGUYEN Linh 100% 88% 48% 10% -
27 KIM Hyojung 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
28 EICHLER Grace 100% 97% 72% 30% 5% -
29 COOPER Audrey 100% 88% 51% 15% 2%
30 KING Alice 100% 94% 67% 27% 4%
31 CHARLTON Cecelia 100% 84% 42% 9% -
32 FOREMAN Elizabeth 100% 95% 68% 27% 5% -
33 NICOLL Allison 100% 80% 36% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.