Turkey Day Slay at NKFA

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 2:30 PM

NKY Fencing Academy (NKFA) - Ludlow, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GUINAN III Joseph 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
2 MANAUGH Guy 100% 100% 100% 94% 55% 12%
3 KALAPASEV Nenad (Ned) 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
3 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 99% 89% 29%
5 BOTNER Olivia 100% 99% 84% 49% 15% 2%
6 LI Jesse 100% 100% 100% 97% 60%
7 KLINE R. Jay 100% 100% 96% 79% 39% 4%
8 BARTCH Ethan 100% 99% 83% 47% 14% 2%
9 AGUILAR Nicolas 100% 97% 31% 2% -
10 ECKEL Anson 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
11 MCNICHOLAS Evan M. 100% 99% 87% 49% 7%
12 WRIGHT Dylan 100% 74% 31% 6% -
13 BETTRIDGE Jessica 100% 99% 89% 52% 9% -
14 BETTS Jr Anthony P. 100% 89% 50% 12% 1%
15 RESS Michael 100% 99% 83% 47% 14% 2%
16 DIDAY Griffen 100% 53% 12% 1% - -
17 KISH Daniel 100% 84% 40% 7% -
18 CROSS Ryan 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
19 LUCAS Mark A. 100% 96% 65% 8% -
20 ZEHE Michele 100% 24% 1% - -
21 EICHLER Grace 100% 84% 42% 11% 1% -
23 NELSON Meghan 100% 94% 64% 24% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.