Thanksgiving Throwdown

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 9:30 AM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MAO Lucas - - 4% 21% 38% 29% 7%
2 SEMP Iain - - - 4% 48% 48%
3 SHANKS Aidan T. - 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
3 FORMY DUVAL Christopher - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
5 HAYES Nathan P. - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
6 ISAACSON Bjorn - - 2% 22% 48% 27%
7 PRICE Owen - 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
8 SEMP Brannon A. - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
9 MAGGY Melanie D. - 1% 16% 54% 28% 2%
10 ZIMSKY James 3% 29% 40% 22% 5% 1% -
11 LIN Janice 2% 18% 59% 20% 1% -
12 WITTKOWER Dylan 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
13 UHRICH Reese 11% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
14 HARTMAN Grayson 9% 36% 44% 10% 1% - -
15 POOLE Katherine 53% 40% 6% - - -
16 MORRIS Luke 31% 46% 20% 3% - - -
17 LAMBERT Luke 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
18 LOVELACE Vander - < 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
19 SHANKS Jennifer 28% 57% 13% 1% - -
20 TREADWAY Ella 43% 42% 13% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.