Thanksgiving Throwdown

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 9:30 AM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
2 SEMP Iain 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 48%
3 SHANKS Aidan T. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
3 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
5 HAYES Nathan P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
6 ISAACSON Bjorn 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 27%
7 PRICE Owen 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
8 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
9 MAGGY Melanie D. 100% 100% 99% 83% 30% 2%
10 ZIMSKY James 100% 97% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
11 LIN Janice 100% 98% 80% 21% 1% -
12 WITTKOWER Dylan 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
13 UHRICH Reese 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
14 HARTMAN Grayson 100% 91% 55% 11% 1% - -
15 POOLE Katherine 100% 47% 7% - - -
16 MORRIS Luke 100% 69% 23% 3% - - -
17 LAMBERT Luke 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
18 LOVELACE Vander 100% 100% 100% 90% 59% 23% 3%
19 SHANKS Jennifer 100% 72% 14% 1% - -
20 TREADWAY Ella 100% 57% 14% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.