Fall Frolic 2022

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 1:30 PM

Augusta Fencers Club - Augusta, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN Kason 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
2 GLENNON Sebastian 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 11%
3 RICKMAN Ian 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 57%
3 MAXWELL Austin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83% 26%
5 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 29% 4%
6 LAW Seth 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
7 BYBEE Lucy 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 8%
9 LE Kevin 100% 99% 87% 52% 17% 2% -
10 JAAFAR Hamza 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 7% -
11 KELLY Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
12 YANAMANDRA Sidhansh 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 2%
13 HAMBRICK Addison 100% 97% 58% 17% 2% -
14 MCBRIDE Caleb 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
15 COMER John 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
16 NIEMAN Brent A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
17 WILKENS Patricia 100% 88% 53% 17% 2% - -
18 FARINA Stephen 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
19 HERRICK Kerry 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1% -
20 ARZT Nicky 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
21 ALVARENGA Darby 100% 77% 17% 1% - -
22 COTTEN Justin 100% 100% 93% 60% 18% 1%
23 MILLER Jonathan (Jack) 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
24 MURRAY Kerk 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
25 CAMPBELL Eva 100% 83% 47% 17% 3% - -
26 WOLF Savana 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
27 PETERS Micah 100% 87% 49% 16% 3% - -
28 FRAIJ Laila 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
29 LEVERETT-HALL Corrina 100% 85% 40% 8% 1% - -
30 CARDINAL Jennifer 100% 99% 91% 61% 20% 1% -
31 MINOR David 100% 95% 69% 27% 5% - -
32 VALDEZ Lorena 100% 98% 70% 30% 7% 1% -
33 HOLMES Sullivan 100% 96% 64% 20% 2% -
34 MOY Eva 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.