Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | COHEN Benjamin A. | V D V V V | V V V V V | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 2 | NICHOLSON Dimitri E. | V V V V V | V V V V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 3 | IVANOV Nicholas | V V V D V | V V V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 3 | LOGUE Ethan D. | D V D V V | V V V D | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| 5 | JAKLITSCH Michael (Mike) T. | V V V V V | V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 6 | RAJ Shrey | V V V V V | V V D | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 |
| 7 | CHENG Zijun | V D V V V | V V D | 1.9 | 4 | +2.1 |
| 8 | NGUYEN Steven | V V V D V | V V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 9 | ULINICH Alexander | V V V V V | V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 10 | BARNETT Devin | V V D V V | V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 11 | RICHARD Silas | V V D V V | V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 12 | BHARGAV Angad | V D V D V | V D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 13 | STOREY Liam | V V D D V | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 14 | LAURIMAA Emil | D V V V D | V D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 15 | SITTER Gregoire | V D V D D | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 16 | PERALTA Christian | D V D V D | V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 17 | WILEY Erica | D V V V V | D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 18 | WEBB Ashton | V D V V V | D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 19 | WU Eric | D V V D V | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 20 | CONTI Braeden | D D V V V | D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 21 | GOLDBERG Artie M. | V D D V D | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 22 | LIU Noah | V D D V D | D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 23 | LOGUE Paul | D V D D V | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 24 | ABECK Eden | D D V D D | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 25 | EPHRAIM Dennis Malcolm | D V D D D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 26 | HOROWITZ Jacob | D V D D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 27 | CHIEM Karen | D D V D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 27 | DUONG John | D D D V D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 29 | CHATTHA Amrik | D D V D D | V D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 30 | HOLLAND Thomas | V D D D D | V D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 31 | RISTOW Carsten | D V D D D | V D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 32 | MAXIMILIAN Matteo | D D D V D | V D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 33 | WEBB Jeremey | V D D D D | D | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| 34 | AGHAZARIAN Samuel G. | D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 35 | TETALI Vishwanath | D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 36 | MORRIS GOTHREAU James | D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.