7th Annual Orange & Blue

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, November 20, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Southwest Recreation Center - Gainesville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GORIUNOV Ivan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 36%
2 MOORE Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92%
3 IRWIN Peter 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54% 11%
3 MCDANIELS Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 21%
5 BUYANOV Nikita 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 33%
6 HANDBERG Paul 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 47%
7 YACCINO Nino 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
8 ALVIOR Jacob 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 18%
9 MARIN John Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 44%
9 DAVIS Jonah 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 17%
11 GROSSE Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 10%
12 ALVIOR Joshua 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 22%
13 WOLF Christopher 100% 99% 77% 35% 7% -
14 CLAYTON Robert 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 28%
15 OSBORN Hunter 100% 100% 99% 82% 35% 6% -
16 WEDDLE Carson 100% 100% 98% 82% 41% 5% -
17 KYPRAIOS Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
18 JELEV Mario 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 65%
19 LEE Yat Ching 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20% 1%
20 FULLERTON Joshua 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% < 1%
21 NALLAMSHETTY Ayan 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 17% 1%
22 LEWIS Jared 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 23%
22 DUPREE Thomas 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41% 7%
24 ZHOU Alec 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 18%
25 DINKINS Adam 100% 100% 94% 70% 28% 4% -
26 REYES Ryan 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
27 WAGMAN Robert 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 18%
28 LANGUASCO Michael 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2% -
29 WONG Caitlin 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 10%
30 ARUN Vikhyat 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8%
31 TUCKER Evan 100% 100% 98% 81% 36% 3% -
32 CARTY Johndale 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
33 ARANA Abrahan 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
34 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 15%
35 MORRIS Taylor 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
36 LEADBETTER Gordon 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 5%
37 COVERT Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 82% 39% 5% -
38 ADIBZADEH Mehrdad 100% 100% 98% 80% 38% 5% -
39 FREEMAN Zachary 100% 100% 96% 72% 28% 3% -
40 WEGMAN Jack 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3% -
41 GORDET Cristina 100% 98% 77% 34% 7% 1% -
42 BELL Adam 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
43 HEINZE Luke 100% 100% 93% 63% 20% 2%
44 JOHNSTON Kellan 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 7% -
44 MCCREARY Madeleine 100% 64% 21% 4% - - -
46 ZAHRAN Aiden 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 13% 1%
47 DOAN Dylan 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
48 PRICE Jordan 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 12%
49 FERNLUND Helen 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
50 WHITLEY Alexis 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
51 BOLLE Elijah 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% - -
52 BOURAK Maya 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
53 FORTIER Adriana 100% 64% 11% 1% - - -
53 KARADENIZ Erek 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 2%
55 ROZET Alice 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
55 RODA Thaleia 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% - -
57 RILEY Grace 100% 91% 56% 15% 2% - -
57 MIA Raj 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% - -
59 CULLEN Reilly 100% 76% 31% 5% - - -
60 DAVIS Kelly 100% 100% 91% 53% 14% 1% -
61 LIU Kevin 100% 99% 84% 43% 9% - -
62 WILFORD Madigan 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
63 VENZON Gavin Roy 100% 98% 82% 42% 9% 1% -
64 DINGEE Paul 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% - -
65 RASSEL John 100% 96% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
67 DAVIS Elisabeth 100% 98% 78% 33% 7% 1% -
68 GUADAMUZ Cesar 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 5% -
69 KOTHA Maanas 100% 98% 71% 28% 5% - -
70 LIU Nick 100% 70% 22% 3% - - -
71 MIHALIK Alva 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
72 SPEARS Ramon 100% 100% 92% 52% 10% 1% -
73 DEFILLIPS Nicholas 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
74 DAVIS Shanna 100% 80% 33% 7% 1% - -
75 MCLENDON Matthew 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3% -
76 AGYEN-FREMPONG Nic 100% 90% 58% 20% 3% - -
77 LEWIS Katherine 100% 23% 2% - - -
78 WILEY Morgan 100% 57% 14% 1% - - -
79 WYBLE Sierra 100% 49% 9% 1% - - -
79 MORENO Mariapaz 100% 67% 20% 2% - - -
81 AGEE Brendon 100% 67% 22% 3% - - -
81 STONE Nicholas 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
83 JIN Dongwoo 100% 99% 87% 54% 16% 1% -
84 RODRIGUEZ Sawyer 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.