Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC/Y8

Y-12 Men's Foil

Friday, November 25, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Meadowlands Expo Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TAN Aidan - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
2 GHEDINI Luca - - - 2% 17% 48% 33%
3 TANG Terry - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
3 SHENG Dalton - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
5 TANG Alexander L. - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
5 PARRISH Evan - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
7 LI Bradley - - - 2% 14% 48% 36%
8 DESERANNO Leander - - - 4% 20% 47% 29%
9 LU Kevin - - 4% 14% 30% 35% 17%
10 ZHOU Chenqiao - - - 1% 6% 33% 60%
11 PALMA Nathan Anthony - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
12 ZHAO Adam - - - 2% 16% 45% 37%
13 VADEN Oliver - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 10%
14 CHEN Ethan - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
15 DOELL Ethan - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
16 CHEN Hanson - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
17 TOOMRE Kai - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 7%
18 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) - - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
19 ZENG Rick - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
20 YANG Charles - - - 4% 20% 46% 30%
21 HUA Aaron - 1% 12% 36% 37% 13% 1%
22 CHENG Logan - - 1% 6% 25% 46% 23%
23 YU William 2% 12% 27% 31% 19% 6% 1%
24 SIMONOV Timofey - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
25 CHEN Kyle P. - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
26 LIU Eric - 2% 10% 27% 37% 21% 4%
27 CHUANG Oscar - 4% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
28 HOU Gaven - 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
29 ZHANG Lucas - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
30 JAZWINSKI Ryan 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 7% 1%
31 REN Ryan 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
32 YUE Jackson 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
33 KO Caleb - 2% 10% 27% 36% 22% 3%
34 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER thomas - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
35 BAI Austin 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% < 1% -
36 WANG Luke 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
37 TANG Royce 1% 5% 17% 30% 30% 15% 3%
38 ONIK Ari N. - 5% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
39 XIE Jicheng - 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 2%
40 YU Haochen 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
41 LATORRE Leonardo 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
42 PLUMMER Waylon 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
43 QU Zhida (richard) 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5% -
44 MO Ethan - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
45 YAVENDITTI William 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 6% -
46 LU Alex - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
47 ONG Nicholas 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 5% -
48 NOVIKOV Yann 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
49 XIE Jayden 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% 1%
50 HAN Alexander - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
51 GRIGORIEV Michael - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
52 KINGSLEY Griffin - 4% 18% 36% 31% 9% 1%
53 SICAT Justin 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2% -
54 TSAY Jordan R. - - 3% 18% 41% 34% 5%
55 JIN Andy - 3% 13% 31% 34% 16% 2%
56 XU Nathan 5% 20% 32% 27% 13% 3% -
57 ZHAI Derrick 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
58 ZHONG Maxwell 15% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
59 WANG Tiger 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 7% 1%
60 WANG Ancen 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
61 ZHAO Ryan 2% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1% -
62 ZHANG Albert 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
63 QIAN Henry 1% 10% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
64 WANG Ralph 20% 43% 28% 8% 1% - -
65 ABRAMKIN Tim 3% 22% 44% 25% 6% - -
66 NABASSOUA Djibril 8% 30% 37% 20% 4% - -
67 POLEBOYINA Amrit 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
68 LU Hansen 9% 31% 36% 18% 4% - -
69 WEI JR Shan 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
70 WU Isaac 48% 41% 10% 1% - - -
71 KRZYWON Dylan 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
72 HE Ryan 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1% -
73 YOU Alan 1% 13% 33% 33% 16% 3% -
74 LIN Wilson 15% 43% 31% 10% 1% - -
75 MARTIRE Luca 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
76 PAULUS Gregory 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
77 WONG Jacob W. - 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1%
78 KOVACS Harrison 4% 18% 31% 29% 14% 4% -
78 BO Aiden 45% 41% 12% 1% - - -
80 WANG ZEYU 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
80 ZHAI Alex 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
82 ZHENG Austin 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
83 ZHANG Hanru 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
84 TSENG Lucas 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
85 HUANG Jinyao - 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
86 SONG Yuxuan Austin 26% 42% 24% 7% 1% - -
87 TAN Charlie 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
88 XIA Philip 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
89 LIU Alex 1% 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
90 HUYNH Matthew 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
91 BAS Jonathan 6% 29% 38% 21% 5% - -
91 FRASER Rhys 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
93 KIAYIAS Alexander 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
94 CZARNECKI Thomas 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
95 ZHANG Zijie 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
96 BRAIZINHA David 16% 45% 30% 8% 1% - -
96 HUANG Anthony 41% 40% 16% 3% - - -
98 ZHANG Ethan 85% 14% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.