The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC/Y8

Y-10 Men's Épée

Friday, November 25, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Meadowlands Expo Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
2 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
3 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
3 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
5 MA Nolan 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
6 HONG Ethen 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 5%
7 MOSTOVOY philip 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
8 LIU Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
9 KIM Julian 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
10 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
11 KATS Brandon 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
12 YAO Ryan 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
13 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
14 NOOL Aaron 100% 97% 79% 40% 8% -
15 CHEN Tianjun 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
16 LIU Austin 100% 99% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
17 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 8%
18 DANILOV Artur 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 10%
19 YAKHNIS Seth 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 15%
20 BHANDARE Veer 100% 98% 80% 43% 12% 1%
21 CHO Joshua 100% 100% 92% 58% 18% 2%
22 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 9%
23 BEYER Timothy 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 21% 3%
24 WHITE Jackson 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1%
25 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 11% 1%
25 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
27 ZHOU Zhi Matthew 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 3%
28 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 100% 100% 98% 78% 35% 5%
29 ZHAO Brandon 100% 68% 19% 2% - -
30 CHEN Daniel 100% 98% 79% 41% 11% 1%
31 WU MiEr 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
32 YOON Jonathan 100% 83% 44% 11% 1% -
33 WU Matthew 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
34 YAO Aiden 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8% 1%
35 KANG Ihan 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 12% 1%
36 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
37 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
38 KIM Siwoo 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
39 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
40 WU Jiachen 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
41 ZHOU Luke 100% 92% 61% 22% 3% -
42 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 63% 16% 2% - -
43 LAI Jayden 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
44 DANILENKO Daniel 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
45 CHIANG William 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
46 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 100% 95% 74% 33% 6%
47 RICHARDSON Matthew 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
48 MAZAHERI John 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
49 CAVALLARO Sebastian 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
50 LIU Alrik SiWei 100% 94% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
51 PARK lewis 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
52 NIU Alexandre 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
53 ZHANG Jayden 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
54 ROFINO Samuel 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
55 CHO Joshua 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
56 DURKIN Kasper 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
57 CAMPBELL Alexander 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
58 VASSEUR Evan 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
59 CHA Aiden 100% 55% 16% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.