Apex Novice Cup - Youth & Senior Foil/Epee

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, December 3, 2022 at 5:00 PM

Apex Fencing Academy - Apex, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SIGMON Will 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
2 SANDERS Cole 100% 100% 96% 73% 20%
3 SMITH Christopher 100% 100% 98% 79% 31%
3 CAFFAREY Luke 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
5 SMALLWOOD Jaylon 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
6 TSAI Caleb 100% 99% 90% 48%
7 KUO Garrett 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
8 CARCATERRA Theodore 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
9 EMANUEL Reed 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2%
10 HAN Sam 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 1%
11 CARO Seph 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
12 MILLER Luke 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
13 LE Brandon 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
14 LANDERS Sarah 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3%
15 MCGINNISS Andrew 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% -
16 HUDSON Jeremy 100% 92% 51% 7% -
17 PETRI Madigan 100% 78% 34% 6%
18 TSAI Steven 100% 78% 34% 6% -
19 FERRARO Nicholas 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
20 MALONE Jacob 100% 87% 42% 5%
21 MCGUIRE Meghan 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% -
22 TATSAPAUGH Jonah 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2%
23 FOLK William 100% 100% 89% 53% 15% 1%
24 MURRAY Elijah 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 1%
25 STRIKER Emma 100% 83% 41% 9% 1%
26 MENG Qiu 100% 78% 31% 3%
27 MULLIS Triston 100% 99% 86% 50% 14% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.