Gold, Frankincense, and Myrrhder

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, December 3, 2022 at 12:30 PM

Tileston Gym - Wilmington, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 IFORD Andrew W. 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
2 MILLER Ryan M. 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
3 SCHMIDT Victoria 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 7%
3 SMOLICH Marat 100% 100% 96% 69% 24%
5 MILES Greyson 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
6 JOSEPH William 100% 99% 87% 48% 10%
7 MURRAY-GRAMLICH Robert 100% 99% 82% 37% 6%
8 WHITE Joshua H. 100% 100% 98% 81% 31%
9 RAYLE Ava 100% 78% 36% 8% -
10 JONES Jackson 100% 92% 55% 14% 1%
10 CANADY Isaac 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
12 MATHAI Rachel 100% 77% 34% 7% -
13 ODEA Ryan 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% -
14 THOMAS Jr. Robert D. 100% 96% 74% 35% 7%
15 CANTERO GIGNAC Alexander 100% 92% 60% 18% 2%
16 SMITH Sean 100% 78% 24% 2% -
17 HEARTY Kai 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3%
18 RICHARDET Henri 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 6%
19 SALKIND Edward M. 100% 87% 43% 10% 1%
20 BETTCHER Lily 100% 70% 22% 2% -
21 KUBE Lily 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.