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Fairfax Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, & VET)

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, March 23, 2019 at 2:00 PM

Baltimore, MD - Baltimore, MD, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 ALLEN Graham V V V V V V V V V V V 4.1 6 +1.9
2 PICCUS Isaac S. D V V V V V V V V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
3 RITCHIE Patrick Q. V D V V D D V V V V D 4.0 3 -1.0
3 ZHANG Tianyi D V V V V V V V V D 3.8 5 +1.2
5 PARTRIDGE Lucas F. V V V V V V V V D 3.8 6 +2.2
6 LABROZZI Aidan V V V V V D V V D 4.1 5 +0.9
7 HU Andre B. V V V V D D V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
8 XIAN Ryan V V D V D V V V D 4.1 4 -0.1
9 WHITEHURST JJ V V V V V V V D 4.2 6 +1.8
10 HODGE Jaydon L. D V V V V V V D 2.9 5 +2.1
11 ADLER Ethan M. V V V D V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
12 SCHAEFER Joshua M. V V D V V V V D 4.3 5 +0.7
13 LAWRENCE Brendan D. D V V D V V V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
14 STUBBLEFIELD Alexander D V V D V V V V D 4.1 4 -0.1
15 CHAWLA Armaan V D V D D V V V D 4.0 3 -1.0
16 GUMAGAY Paul V V D D D V V V D 4.4 3 -1.4
17 LI Jeffrey V D V V V V D 4.3 5 +0.7
18 MARKAS Justin W. V V V V D V D 4.5 5 +0.5
19 BADIOLI Carlo V D D V V V D 2.2 4 +1.8
20 LI Jeffrey V V D D V V D 3.8 4 +0.2
21 O'BRIEN Timothy S. D V V V V D V D 1.1 4 +2.9
22 KIM Minjun V V D D V V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
23 KANACH Duncan D D V V V V V D 1.3 4 +2.7
24 LU Sebastian X. D V V V D D V D 2.5 3 +0.5
25 DEL CASTILLO Matthew Raymond M. V D D V D V V D 3.9 3 -0.9
26 KIM Dohyun D. D V V V D D V D 3.7 3 -0.7
27 GRENKE Brad V V V D D D V D 4.8 3 -1.8
28 HOU Phi V V D V D D V D 2.5 3 +0.5
29 ZHENG Brian V V D V D D V D 3.9 3 -0.9
30 STEVENS Daniel D D V V V D V D 2.4 3 +0.6
31 HU Alexander W. D D D D V V V D 2.1 2 -0.1
32 LIU John V D D D D V V D 3.7 2 -1.7
33 KENNEDY Kyle J. V D V D D D D 2.9 2 -0.9
34 RITCHIE Mark T. D V D D D V D 2.0 2 -
35 KIRSCH Adam J. D D D V V D D 1.7 2 +0.3
36 HABIB III David P. V D D V D D D 2.8 2 -0.8
38 KUHN Jeffrey D D D V V D D 1.5 2 +0.5
39 WHITELOCK James R. V D D D D D D 1.7 1 -0.7
40 TUCKER Owen J. D D V D D D D 2.4 1 -1.4
41 OH Justin D D D V D D D 1.9 1 -0.9
41 WIEDE Gerd D D D D D V D 1.6 1 -0.6
43 GILLESPIE Jeremy W. D D D D D V D 0.8 1 +0.2
44 HOFFMAN Shane C. D D D D V D D 1.8 1 -0.8
45 LU Qi D V D D D D D 2.5 1 -1.5
46 OBERLEITON Timothy D D D D D D D 2.8 0 -2.8
47 TATE Leon J. D D D D D D D 2.9 0 -2.9
48 AKOCS Ethan D D D D D D D 0.9 0 -0.9
49 AKOCS Tony D D D D D D D 1.8 0 -1.8

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.