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Fairfax Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, & VET)

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, March 23, 2019 at 2:00 PM

Baltimore, MD - Baltimore, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ALLEN Graham - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
2 PICCUS Isaac S. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
3 RITCHIE Patrick Q. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
3 ZHANG Tianyi - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 5%
5 PARTRIDGE Lucas F. - 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 5%
6 LABROZZI Aidan - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 9%
7 HU Andre B. - 3% 12% 27% 33% 21% 5%
8 XIAN Ryan - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
9 WHITEHURST JJ - - 4% 18% 35% 31% 10%
10 HODGE Jaydon L. 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
11 ADLER Ethan M. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
12 SCHAEFER Joshua M. - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
13 LAWRENCE Brendan D. - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 1%
14 STUBBLEFIELD Alexander - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
15 CHAWLA Armaan - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
16 GUMAGAY Paul - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 15%
17 LI Jeffrey - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
18 MARKAS Justin W. - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
19 BADIOLI Carlo 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
20 LI Jeffrey - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
21 O'BRIEN Timothy S. 23% 46% 27% 4% < 1% - -
22 KIM Minjun - 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
23 KANACH Duncan 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
24 LU Sebastian X. 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
25 DEL CASTILLO Matthew Raymond M. - - 5% 27% 41% 23% 4%
26 KIM Dohyun D. - 1% 11% 31% 37% 18% 2%
27 GRENKE Brad - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
28 HOU Phi 2% 15% 34% 32% 15% 3% -
29 ZHENG Brian - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 6%
30 STEVENS Daniel 3% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
31 HU Alexander W. 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
32 LIU John - 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
33 KENNEDY Kyle J. 1% 7% 26% 38% 22% 5% -
34 RITCHIE Mark T. 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
35 KIRSCH Adam J. 10% 35% 35% 16% 4% - -
36 HABIB III David P. 1% 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% -
38 KUHN Jeffrey 15% 38% 32% 13% 2% - -
39 WHITELOCK James R. 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
40 TUCKER Owen J. 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
41 OH Justin 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
41 WIEDE Gerd 11% 38% 37% 13% 2% - -
43 GILLESPIE Jeremy W. 39% 40% 16% 3% - - -
44 HOFFMAN Shane C. 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
45 LU Qi 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
46 OBERLEITON Timothy 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
47 TATE Leon J. 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
48 AKOCS Ethan 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
49 AKOCS Tony 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.