Event Results
December Friday Night FencingSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | MCNICHOLAS Evan M. | D V V V | V V V | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 2 | RIPLEY Ian | V V D V V | V V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 3 | WINGET William (Bill) D. | V V V V | V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 3 | REED Dusty (Allen) | V V V V D | V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 5 | MARTIN Maximilian | D V V D V | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 6 | KOZINSKI Allison E. | V D D V | V D | 0.7 | 2 | +1.3 |
| 7 | ORGAN Jason | V D D D V | V D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 8 | SPURGEON William | D V D D | V D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 9 | BETTRIDGE Jessica | D D V V D | D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 10 | PLUMMER Ken | D D D D D | D | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| 11 | VANCE Sam | D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |