Fairfax Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, & VET)

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, March 24, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Baltimore, MD - Baltimore, MD, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 FAYEZ Ayman A. V V D V V V V V V V V 5.6 5 -0.6
3 DE GUZMAN Inaki P. V V D V V V V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
3 XIAN Ryan V D V D V D V V V V D 3.3 3 -0.3
5 SCHACK Samuel D. D V V V V V V V V D 1.9 5 +3.1
6 INSLER Gabriel C. V V V D V V V V D 3.3 4 +0.7
7 ZHENG Hagen V D D V D V V V D 3.7 2 -1.7
8 SILVER Cameron D D D V D V V V D 2.8 1 -1.8
9 ALLEN Graham V V V V V V V D 4.3 6 +1.7
10 SMITH Justin C. V D V V V V V D 4.7 5 +0.3
11 TAE William G. D D V V V V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
12 STOTT Donovan R. V D V V D V V D 2.1 3 +0.9
13 HOFFMANN Christopher J. D V D V V V V D 3.7 3 -0.7
14 BEKKER Mitchel V D V V D V V D 2.9 3 +0.1
15 LI Jeffrey D V D D V V V D 3.2 2 -1.2
16 YOON Nathan V D D D V D V V D 3.3 2 -1.3
17 LAFVING Brandon V V V V V V D 4.2 6 +1.8
18 KIM Juni C. V V V D V V V D 5.3 5 -0.3
19 HILBERT Xavier V V V V D V D 3.5 4 +0.5
19 LEE Timothy S. D V V V V V D 3.3 4 +0.7
21 PARK Minchan V D V V V V D 2.1 4 +1.9
22 HANXU Richard A. V V V V D D V D 3.7 4 +0.3
23 KLASSEN Andrew P. D V V D V V D 2.3 3 +0.7
24 CULLEN Daniel F. D V D V D V V D 3.0 3 -
25 FREEMAN Daniel H. D V D D V V V D 3.5 3 -0.5
26 TRAN Dai Long V D V D D V V D 3.5 3 -0.5
27 XU Zitong (Evan) V V V D D D V D 3.5 3 -0.5
28 LIU John D V D V D V V D 3.1 3 -0.1
29 KIM Minjun D D V V D D V D 2.1 2 -0.1
30 CHARRON Jack H. D D D V D V D 0.9 1 +0.1
31 JURGENSON Artemie A. D V D D D V D 1.5 1 -0.5
32 LI Jeffrey D D D D D D V D 2.1 0 -2.1
33 PLUMER Jack E. V V D V V V D 3.4 5 +1.6
34 DAVIS Jeffrey H. V D V V D V D 3.7 4 +0.3
35 O'HARA Keegan J. V V V V D D D 3.4 4 +0.6
36 RODACHY Jeffrey M. V V D V D V D 3.3 4 +0.7
37 ECKEL Anson J. V V V D D V D 2.8 4 +1.2
38 DEL CASTILLO Matthew Raymond M. V V D D V D 1.8 3 +1.2
39 KUMAR Anitya D V V D V D 3.0 3 -
40 CHEN Wesley V D V D V D 2.3 3 +0.7
41 WALTHER Bryan M. V D V V D D D 2.6 3 +0.4
42 YI Kyle D V D D V D 3.0 2 -1.0
43 DE KLERK Ryan V V D D D D 1.4 2 +0.6
44 CHEN Eric Y. V V D D D D 3.1 2 -1.1
45 MARCHANT Albert J. V D D V D D 1.6 2 +0.4
46 CHAWLA Armaan D D V V D D 1.7 2 +0.3
47 RITCHIE Patrick Q. D V D D D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
48 HODGE Jaydon L. D D V D D V D 2.3 2 -0.3
49 SOZANSKI Kyle S. D D D V D V D 2.9 2 -0.9
50 TATE Leon J. D D V V D D D 0.7 2 +1.3
51 TUCKER Owen J. V V D D D D D 1.0 2 +1.0
52 ADLER Ethan M. D D D D V D 1.6 1 -0.6
53 LIU Kevin X. D D V D D D 1.6 1 -0.6
54 XIAN Riley D D D D V D D 3.5 1 -2.5
55 O'BRIEN Timothy S. D D D D V D D 0.6 1 +0.4
56 LABROZZI Aidan D D D D D V D 3.1 1 -2.1
57 GARRISON Andrew T. D D D D V D D 2.8 1 -1.8
58 KUHN Jeffrey D D D D D D D 0.8 0 -0.8
59 KIRSCH Adam J. D D D D D D D 1.0 0 -1.0

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.