December NAC

Junior Women's Saber

Friday, December 9, 2022 at 10:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 POSSICK Lola P. - - - - 4% 30% 66%
2 KIM Zoe - - - - 2% 22% 76%
3 LEE Hannah - - 2% 11% 32% 41% 15%
3 HILD Nisha - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
5 ANDRES Katherine A. - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
6 CHEN Xiaohan - - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
7 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
8 KIM Marley I. - 3% 13% 30% 35% 17% 3%
9 SHOMAN Jenna - - - - 3% 28% 69%
10 FOUR-GARCIA Madison - - - 2% 16% 46% 35%
11 XIAO julie - 5% 22% 41% 26% 5% -
12 WILLIAMS Chloe C. - - - 5% 23% 45% 27%
13 CODY Alexandra C. - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
14 YANG Angelina LeLe - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
15 MCKEE Brynnley - 5% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
16 JEONG Katie 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7% 1%
17 FREEDMAN Janna N. - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 30%
18 HWANG Gabriela M. - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
19 VESTEL Mira B. - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
20 ANDRES Charmaine G. - - 1% 6% 31% 62%
21 SHI Cathleen - 3% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
22 SOURIMTO Valeria - - 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
23 MIKA Veronica - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
24 BLUM Leah I. - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
25 CHIN Erika J. - - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
26 YANG Ashley M. - 1% 9% 31% 39% 18% 3%
27 ENDO Miyuki N. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
28 MARSEE Samantha - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 19%
29 ATLURI Sara V. 2% 12% 31% 34% 18% 3%
30 GORMAN Victoria M. - 1% 10% 33% 40% 15%
31 LUKASHENKO Angelina - 1% 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
32 BARNOVITZ Maya - 3% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
33 DUCKETT Madison - - 5% 23% 44% 28%
34 DELSOIN Chelsea C. - - - 3% 17% 43% 36%
35 SATHYANATH Kailing - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
36 SZETO Chloe - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
37 CHEN Ashley - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
38 LIN Audrey J. - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
39 KER Grace - - 1% 6% 26% 46% 21%
40 CHANG Audrey 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 2%
41 KALISOVA Kristyna 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
42 VADASZ Ibla P. - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
43 LI Amanda C. - - 1% 6% 27% 44% 22%
44 DUNGEY Amelia S. - - - 5% 24% 47% 25%
45 BOIS Adele - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
46 LEE Sophia - 6% 25% 37% 24% 6% 1%
47 BALAKUMARAN Maya - 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 3%
48 NGUYEN Siena 1% 11% 32% 36% 16% 3% -
49 GUTHIKONDA Nithya - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
49 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
49 CHIANG Emily - 1% 8% 28% 41% 20% 2%
52 WU Helen - 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
53 MARYASH Samantha 2% 15% 37% 34% 11% 1%
54 LIU Yifei 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
55 SINHA Anika 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
56 CHANG Emily - 2% 14% 36% 34% 12% 1%
57 STONE Hava S. - - 2% 15% 42% 35% 6%
58 LIM Jaslene 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
59 WEI Vivian W. - 4% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
60 HE Charlotte - - 2% 11% 34% 40% 13%
61 CALLAHAN Chase J. - 4% 17% 35% 34% 11%
62 WEI JoyAnn 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
63 LU Elaine 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
64 SCOTT Eve 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1% -
65 LIU Sophie - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
66 MOZHAEVA MARIA - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
67 CHIN Sophia J. - 1% 6% 20% 34% 30% 10%
68 JOHNSON Lydia 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3% -
69 LIGH Erenei J. 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
70 SADIK HANA - - 2% 14% 39% 38% 6%
71 PAUL Lila - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
72 SO Catelyn - 4% 21% 38% 27% 8% 1%
73 SHTREVENSKY Maria 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
74 LEE Alexandra B. - - - 2% 22% 75%
75 XI Shining - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
76 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
77 OLSEN Natalie J. - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
78 JUNG Irene - 1% 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
79 STONE Coral 2% 21% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
80 FEIG Sela 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
81 CHIN Elise 2% 16% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
82 ALCEBAR Kayla - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
83 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. - 1% 7% 22% 36% 28% 7%
84 NATH Trisha - - 3% 19% 43% 31% 4%
85 NATHANSON Sammy E. - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16% 1%
85 LI YING CHU 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% -
87 MANSPERGER Leena - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
88 WANG yining 6% 27% 41% 21% 4% - -
89 ELSHAKANKIRI Janna 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
90 BUHAY Rachel T. - 4% 20% 41% 32% 4%
91 MULAGARI Sadhika 7% 29% 40% 20% 4% -
92 GHAYALOD reya - 1% 8% 30% 43% 18%
93 JOHNSON Dagny L. 1% 7% 27% 40% 21% 4%
94 LIU Zhi Jun 3% 17% 37% 33% 10% 1%
95 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 2% 14% 38% 34% 12% 1%
96 SENOGLU Irmak 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
97 HUANG MADELINE 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
98 YUAN Greta - 1% 7% 25% 40% 23% 4%
99 TSUI Natalie 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
100 LUKER Sophia 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 4% -
101 ZOLLER Noelle 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
102 FESTA Carina 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
103 SHEARER Natalie E. - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
104 WIGGERS Susan Q. - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 3%
104 YAO Rainie 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% - -
106 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1% -
107 ERIKSON Kira R. - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
108 WEBER Juliana I. - 1% 9% 31% 40% 17% 2%
109 CHARLES Caitlin 46% 40% 12% 2% - - -
110 MUND Ruth 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
111 BUHAY Kirsten M. 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
112 GRAJALES Hannah E. 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
113 ANTHONY Alexia B. - 3% 16% 36% 34% 10%
114 YU Zhiang 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
115 FANG Sophie 30% 47% 20% 3% - -
116 HUNG Anna 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
117 PRIEUR Lauren 1% 6% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
118 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
119 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 2% 14% 34% 36% 13% 2% -
120 SADOVA Olga 1% 16% 41% 31% 10% 1% -
121 CHEN Kevy 5% 28% 39% 21% 5% 1% -
122 LU Amy - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18% 1%
123 YANG Lea 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
124 NGUYEN Ella 1% 16% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
125 YOUNG Audrey 6% 35% 38% 17% 3% - -
126 KHAN Alissa 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
127 DONDERIS Katherine 32% 43% 21% 4% - -
128 JOHNSON Lauren - < 1% 1% 8% 28% 43% 21%
129 BEVACQUA Aria F. - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
130 TREACY Aisling 5% 39% 39% 14% 2% - -
131 GRULICH Rayaana 9% 32% 38% 17% 3% - -
132 MARGULIAN Maria 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
133 GAUTAM Sahana 10% 31% 35% 19% 4% -
134 RIZKALA Joanna - 4% 22% 40% 27% 6%
135 GOLDIN Nina 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
136 KANDADAI Lara 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% -
137 MAKLIN Sofia 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3%
138 XU Emily T. 6% 34% 39% 18% 4% - -
139 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
140 GRAFF Sophie 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
141 HENRY Soraya S. 6% 30% 41% 19% 4% - -
142 TODD Phoebe 11% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
143 GUVEN Coco 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
144 SHUM Cindy 11% 38% 35% 13% 2% - -
145 NAYAK Esha 2% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
146 PENG Florella 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
147 SHINCHUK Ellisha 4% 25% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
148 KIM Elyssa 64% 31% 5% - - - -
149 LEE Lauren 11% 38% 36% 12% 2% - -
150 LOPEZ-ONA Mia 26% 42% 24% 7% 1% - -
151 HITOMI Nadya 13% 38% 34% 13% 2% -
152 MCKEE Ainsley 10% 35% 37% 15% 2% -
153 CHEN Jessica 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
154 FERREIRA Alejandra E. 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% -
155 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
156 WANG Gloria 15% 34% 32% 15% 4% 1% -
157 HU Michelle 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
157 DAI Olivia 16% 37% 31% 13% 2% - -
159 LIAO Siwen 1% 10% 29% 34% 20% 5% -
159 CHUNG Hailey 7% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
161 CHAPMAN-LAYLAND Astrid M. 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
162 ZHOU Jacquelyn K. - 2% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
162 TURIANO Nadelle 49% 39% 11% 1% - - -
164 BAWA Anahat 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
165 ZHOU Ruoxi ( Jasmine) 12% 36% 36% 14% 2% - -
166 LIN Nicole 14% 37% 33% 13% 3% - -
167 DUDNICK Morgan 21% 41% 29% 8% 1% - -
168 JOHNSTON Lily 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
169 ZHANG Chenfei 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
169 WANG Ziqi 13% 32% 32% 17% 5% 1% -
171 JEFFORDS Sophia 30% 43% 22% 5% - - -
171 CHAVAN Arya 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
173 SAAD Alia 72% 25% 3% - - - -
173 CHO Michelle 27% 45% 23% 4% - - -
175 SULLIVAN Madilyn R. 65% 30% 5% - - - -
176 DE SILVA Augusta 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
177 DIECK Miranda P. 30% 46% 20% 4% - -
178 KUANG TongFei 35% 43% 19% 3% - -
179 TONG Jessie < 1% 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
179 CHAN Kayla 57% 35% 8% 1% - - -
181 FLATT Sophia 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
182 NEUMAN Ella 31% 42% 22% 5% - -
183 GOURNEAU Sophie L. 79% 20% 1% - - - -
183 DONG Angel 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
183 LI Jiaying 11% 37% 36% 14% 3% - -
186 ZHAO Emily W. 28% 41% 24% 7% 1% -
187 CHIANG Melissa 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
187 BROWNER June 39% 43% 16% 2% - - -
189 ZHANG Ruijia Alexa 24% 45% 25% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.