December NAC

Junior Women's Saber

Friday, December 9, 2022 at 10:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
2 KIM Zoe 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76%
3 LEE Hannah 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 15%
3 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24%
5 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
6 CHEN Xiaohan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
7 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
8 KIM Marley I. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 3%
9 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
10 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 35%
11 XIAO julie 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 6% -
12 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
13 CODY Alexandra C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
14 YANG Angelina LeLe 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
15 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
16 JEONG Katie 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8% 1%
17 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
18 HWANG Gabriela M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
19 VESTEL Mira B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
20 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 62%
21 SHI Cathleen 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
22 SOURIMTO Valeria 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 5%
23 MIKA Veronica 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
24 BLUM Leah I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
25 CHIN Erika J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
26 YANG Ashley M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 3%
27 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 26% 4%
28 MARSEE Samantha 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
29 ATLURI Sara V. 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
30 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
31 LUKASHENKO Angelina 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
32 BARNOVITZ Maya 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 2%
33 DUCKETT Madison 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
34 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
35 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
36 SZETO Chloe 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
37 CHEN Ashley 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
38 LIN Audrey J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 18%
39 KER Grace 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 21%
40 CHANG Audrey 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 2%
41 KALISOVA Kristyna 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
42 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
43 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
44 DUNGEY Amelia S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 25%
45 BOIS Adele 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33%
46 LEE Sophia 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
47 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 20% 3%
48 NGUYEN Siena 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3% -
49 GUTHIKONDA Nithya 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
49 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
49 CHIANG Emily 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21% 2%
52 WU Helen 100% 100% 98% 83% 50% 15% 2%
53 MARYASH Samantha 100% 98% 83% 46% 11% 1%
54 LIU Yifei 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
55 SINHA Anika 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
56 CHANG Emily 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
57 STONE Hava S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40% 6%
58 LIM Jaslene 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
59 WEI Vivian W. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
60 HE Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 13%
61 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 11%
62 WEI JoyAnn 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1% -
63 LU Elaine 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
64 SCOTT Eve 100% 97% 77% 40% 10% 1% -
65 LIU Sophie 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
66 MOZHAEVA MARIA 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
67 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 10%
68 JOHNSON Lydia 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
69 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 9% 1%
70 SADIK HANA 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 6%
71 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
72 SO Catelyn 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 9% 1%
73 SHTREVENSKY Maria 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3%
74 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
75 XI Shining 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
76 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
77 OLSEN Natalie J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
78 JUNG Irene 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
79 STONE Coral 100% 98% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
80 FEIG Sela 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
81 CHIN Elise 100% 98% 82% 46% 15% 2% -
82 ALCEBAR Kayla 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
83 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 34% 7%
84 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35% 4%
85 NATHANSON Sammy E. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17% 1%
85 LI YING CHU 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
87 MANSPERGER Leena 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
88 WANG yining 100% 94% 67% 26% 5% - -
89 ELSHAKANKIRI Janna 100% 97% 79% 43% 14% 2% -
90 BUHAY Rachel T. 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 4%
91 MULAGARI Sadhika 100% 93% 64% 24% 4% -
92 GHAYALOD reya 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
93 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 4%
94 LIU Zhi Jun 100% 97% 81% 43% 11% 1%
95 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 100% 98% 85% 47% 13% 1%
96 SENOGLU Irmak 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
97 HUANG MADELINE 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
98 YUAN Greta 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
99 TSUI Natalie 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
100 LUKER Sophia 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
101 ZOLLER Noelle 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
102 FESTA Carina 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
103 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
104 WIGGERS Susan Q. 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 26% 3%
104 YAO Rainie 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% - -
106 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 2% -
107 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
108 WEBER Juliana I. 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 19% 2%
109 CHARLES Caitlin 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
110 MUND Ruth 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 3% -
111 BUHAY Kirsten M. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
112 GRAJALES Hannah E. 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
113 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 10%
114 YU Zhiang 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
115 FANG Sophie 100% 70% 23% 3% - -
116 HUNG Anna 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
117 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
118 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 9% 1%
119 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 100% 98% 85% 50% 14% 2% -
120 SADOVA Olga 100% 99% 83% 43% 12% 1% -
121 CHEN Kevy 100% 95% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
122 LU Amy 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 1%
123 YANG Lea 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% -
124 NGUYEN Ella 100% 99% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
125 YOUNG Audrey 100% 94% 59% 21% 4% - -
126 KHAN Alissa 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
127 DONDERIS Katherine 100% 68% 25% 5% - -
128 JOHNSON Lauren 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
129 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 11%
130 TREACY Aisling 100% 95% 56% 17% 2% - -
131 GRULICH Rayaana 100% 91% 59% 20% 3% - -
132 MARGULIAN Maria 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
133 GAUTAM Sahana 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
134 RIZKALA Joanna 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
135 GOLDIN Nina 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
136 KANDADAI Lara 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% -
137 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
138 XU Emily T. 100% 94% 60% 21% 4% - -
139 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 4% -
140 GRAFF Sophie 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
141 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 94% 64% 23% 4% - -
142 TODD Phoebe 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
143 GUVEN Coco 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
144 SHUM Cindy 100% 89% 51% 16% 3% - -
145 NAYAK Esha 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 1% -
146 PENG Florella 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
147 SHINCHUK Ellisha 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
148 KIM Elyssa 100% 36% 5% - - - -
149 LEE Lauren 100% 89% 50% 14% 2% - -
150 LOPEZ-ONA Mia 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
151 HITOMI Nadya 100% 87% 48% 15% 2% -
152 MCKEE Ainsley 100% 90% 54% 17% 2% -
153 CHEN Jessica 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1%
154 FERREIRA Alejandra E. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% -
155 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 100% 98% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
156 WANG Gloria 100% 85% 51% 20% 4% 1% -
157 HU Michelle 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
157 DAI Olivia 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
159 LIAO Siwen 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 6% -
159 CHUNG Hailey 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
161 CHAPMAN-LAYLAND Astrid M. 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
162 ZHOU Jacquelyn K. 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
162 TURIANO Nadelle 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
164 BAWA Anahat 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
165 ZHOU Ruoxi ( Jasmine) 100% 88% 52% 17% 2% - -
166 LIN Nicole 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
167 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% - -
168 JOHNSTON Lily 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
169 ZHANG Chenfei 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
169 WANG Ziqi 100% 87% 54% 22% 6% 1% -
171 JEFFORDS Sophia 100% 70% 28% 5% - - -
171 CHAVAN Arya 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
173 SAAD Alia 100% 28% 3% - - - -
173 CHO Michelle 100% 73% 27% 5% - - -
175 SULLIVAN Madilyn R. 100% 35% 5% - - - -
176 DE SILVA Augusta 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
177 DIECK Miranda P. 100% 70% 24% 4% - -
178 KUANG TongFei 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
179 TONG Jessie 100% 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
179 CHAN Kayla 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
181 FLATT Sophia 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
182 NEUMAN Ella 100% 69% 27% 5% - -
183 GOURNEAU Sophie L. 100% 21% 2% - - - -
183 DONG Angel 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
183 LI Jiaying 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% - -
186 ZHAO Emily W. 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% -
187 CHIANG Melissa 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
187 BROWNER June 100% 61% 18% 2% - - -
189 ZHANG Ruijia Alexa 100% 76% 31% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.