December NAC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, December 11, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DESROSIERS Olivier 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
2 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
3 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
3 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
5 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
6 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 48%
7 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
8 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
9 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
10 WU Roger (Mengke) 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
11 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
12 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 69%
13 POPE Nico 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
14 WANG Robert 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 2%
15 STONE Esmond A. 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 14% 1%
16 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
17 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
18 KIM Alexander M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
19 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
20 NOBLE Colin 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
21 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
22 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 11%
23 YUN Jaesun 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
24 PAN Jerry 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
25 MAROUF Eyad 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
26 LAI Adam J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
27 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 12%
28 BUCHMANN Finn D. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
29 DENNER Lysander H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
30 FENG Leo 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 6%
31 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
32 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 6%
33 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
34 LINSKY Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
34 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
36 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
36 LEE Justin 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
38 BULL Anderson 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 7%
39 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 22%
40 AVAKIAN Alec 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
41 REN Richard 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
42 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 5%
43 SLASTIN Andrew 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 6%
44 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30% 4%
45 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 18%
45 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
47 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
48 HUANG Connor 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2% -
49 EICHHORN Lukas H. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
50 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 13%
51 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 23%
52 GHENEA George Philipe 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 21% 2%
53 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
54 BARRETO Elliott 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 58% 17%
55 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
56 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
57 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14% 1%
57 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 2%
59 WANG Eric Y. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
60 COOK Cole 100% 100% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
61 LI Minghan 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
62 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 3% -
63 XU William 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
64 PENG Bryan 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
65 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
66 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
67 MARGULIES William 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3%
68 GUAY-TARDIF Xavier 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
69 BEITEL Noah 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
70 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
71 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
72 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
73 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 14%
74 HUSSAIN Faaris 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
75 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
75 JIANG Anthony 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 9%
77 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 6%
78 OH Triton 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16% 1%
79 CASTRO-SOLIS HUGO ABEL 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
80 YANG Ziyi 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
81 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 100% 89% 53% 15% 2% -
82 WONG Ryan 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 18%
82 SCHERER Max 100% 99% 86% 49% 13% 1%
84 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 5%
84 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28% 4%
86 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 13% 1%
87 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
88 TANN Justin 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
89 VO Minh Q. 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7% -
89 KROON Lucas 100% 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1%
91 LE Hayden 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
92 REYES Xavier M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 5%
93 KILARI Krish 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
94 NOBLE Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 15%
94 LIM William J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 8%
96 STURN Oliver 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
96 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
98 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 4%
99 PAN Alex 100% 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 1%
100 PI Alexander 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2% -
101 LIU kelly 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
102 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
103 KOTOV Leonid 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2%
104 BOSITA Carson 100% 97% 81% 44% 11% 1%
105 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
106 GILSON Lucas B. 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 2%
107 BYON Adrian 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1%
108 FERNANDEZ Liam 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3% -
109 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 4% -
110 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
111 LO Konnor 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
112 WANG Charles 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 21% 2%
113 REN James 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 4%
114 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19% 2%
115 KUMAR Sachit 100% 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% -
116 GAO Albert 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
117 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 31% 2%
117 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 2%
119 WANG Nicolas 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
120 YUN Jake 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 11%
121 WONG James T. 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
121 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
123 CHEEMA Hyder 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
124 HUROWITZ Max 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
125 JOHNSON Langston C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
126 YAN Kevin 100% 79% 32% 6% - -
127 SWORDS Evan F. 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3%
128 WU Richard 100% 77% 30% 5% - -
129 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 11% 1%
130 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
131 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9% -
132 DIACOS Jordan 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 12%
132 KIM ELIJAH 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
134 CADAMBI Roshan 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 2%
135 ROBINSON William 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
136 KIM Andrew H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 9%
137 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
138 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
139 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
140 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
141 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 26%
142 BERA Enzo 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2% -
143 HAN William 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 5% -
144 LUO George F. 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
145 HOLZ William A. 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
146 GRATHWOL-SEAR Oliver 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
146 XU Luke 100% 99% 90% 58% 20% 2%
148 THORNHILL Kwasi 100% 99% 87% 52% 17% 3% -
149 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
150 CHEN Evan P. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
151 PANDEY Neil 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 16% 2%
152 XU Andrew 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 24% 4%
152 SU Landon 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 8% 1%
154 CRAIG Samuel 100% 96% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
155 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 10% 1%
156 TAO Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 1%
157 KAPOOR Tanmay 100% 84% 38% 9% 1% - -
158 KILGALLEN William 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
158 KAKEHI Nicholas B. 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
158 TU Leo 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
161 WAXLER Seth B. 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 1%
162 GUZZO Vito 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 17% 2%
163 LEE Noah 100% 96% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
164 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
165 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
166 BONSELL Vance 100% 97% 76% 38% 11% 1% -
167 BYON Julian 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
168 EPSTEIN Oliver D. 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% - -
168 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 3% -
170 GINSBERG Jordan 100% 99% 91% 53% 17% 2% -
171 ZHOU James Y. 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
172 CHAN Aidan 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
173 NG Jeremiah 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
174 FERGUSON Constantine 100% 83% 36% 8% 1% - -
175 SAVOY Luca 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 3% -
176 ZHANG Yupeng 100% 93% 60% 20% 3% - -
177 WANG HongXi 100% 29% 4% < 1% - - -
178 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
179 HAN Edward 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 5% -
180 RAMANAN Govind 100% 78% 32% 6% 1% -
181 ASHBY Ethan J. 100% 100% 94% 69% 27% 3%
182 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
183 LUHAN Zachary 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% -
184 GUAN Luke 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1%
184 YOO Maxwell 100% 61% 17% 2% - -
186 HONG Rubin 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
187 VOSS Jeffer 100% 70% 25% 4% - -
188 FOX Gavin 100% 62% 17% 2% - -
189 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 100% 94% 68% 26% 4%
189 FELDMAN Drew 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
191 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
192 LEE Ashe 100% 61% 17% 2% - -
193 PERRON Robert 100% 86% 46% 11% 1% -
194 CHANG Colin S. 100% 100% 93% 66% 26% 3%
195 BARRIOS Diego 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
196 DECK Tyson 100% 98% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
197 TENG MATTHEW 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
198 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% - -
199 POSY Daniel 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% - -
200 MAY Griffin M. 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3% -
201 FALCON-KORB Mathis 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
202 LIU Lawrence 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
203 ZHU Charlie 100% 99% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
204 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
205 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
206 CAISSE Simon B. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
206 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
208 BOUKHTIN Maxim 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
209 LUCAS Hayden 100% 77% 32% 7% 1% - -
210 AKS Ari 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
211 VAUGHN Jason 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
212 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
213 CUNNINGHAM-SNELSON Aahil 100% 83% 32% 6% 1% - -
214 KUSHKOV Veniamin 100% 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 1%
214 MUNGOVAN Matthew 100% 84% 29% 4% - - -
214 DEKA Tanush 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
217 CHEN Samuel 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
218 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
219 BRAKEY Ryan 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
220 TSAI Michael T. 100% 66% 15% 1% - - -
221 HUANG Tom 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
222 LIN Felix 100% 68% 25% 4% - -
223 NIETO Titus P. 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
224 DUDNICK Christian 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
225 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 96% 75% 32% 5%
225 JAIN Aniket 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% -
227 WANG Zhuoyi 100% 89% 54% 18% 2% -
228 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7%
229 ZHOU Miles 100% 98% 84% 45% 11% 1%
230 ZHANG Derek 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 5%
231 SHANKAR Karthik 100% 70% 26% 4% - -
232 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
233 WOODWARD Connor 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 5%
234 LEITH Jack 100% 96% 73% 34% 7% 1%
235 KESSLER Josh 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
236 YERRAMILLI Tejas 100% 94% 64% 23% 4% - -
237 LUTHRA Arjun 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 1%
238 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8% 1%
239 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 98% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
240 RODGERS Jacob 100% 75% 29% 5% - - -
241 HU Christopher 100% 100% 96% 70% 31% 6% -
241 LANNAMAN Connor 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% - -
243 SMINK Oliver 100% 95% 63% 24% 5% - -
243 DEPEW Spencer 100% 97% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
245 ZHAO Lucas 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
246 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
246 KESSLER Nathan 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -
246 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) 100% 98% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
249 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 96% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
250 GUAN Dennis 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1% -
250 SHI Ivan 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
252 YAN Leonard Z. 100% 98% 54% 15% 2% - -
252 HO Jacob 100% 49% 12% 2% - - -
254 KATZ Ryan 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
255 FANG Eason 100% 75% 30% 5% - - -
256 LEONARD Charles 100% 86% 52% 18% 3% - -
256 BOULAIS Andrew D. 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
256 DALAL Rohan 100% 92% 60% 19% 3% - -
259 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1% -
259 CHOKSI Vihaan 100% 71% 26% 5% - - -
261 BROU Inkosi 100% 93% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
261 VAID Luke 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
261 ZHAO Zhiyu 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
264 YANG Joshua 100% 82% 40% 11% 1% - -
265 ZHOU Grant 100% 94% 56% 17% 2% - -
266 DOWNEY Baran 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2% -
266 HUSTON Theodore 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
268 POLEYUMPTEWA Connor 100% 35% 3% - - - -
269 WALKE Devin 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
270 VAROQUA Nalby 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -
271 HONG Steven 100% 100% 96% 74% 32% 4%
271 SHI Erick 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% -
273 VENU Ram 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
274 KIM Kendrick 100% 63% 21% 3% - - -
274 KIM Theodore 100% 50% 10% 1% - - -
276 IRWIN Peter 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 5%
277 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 98% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
277 VELTZ Tyler J. 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
277 SANGSTER Arden 100% 57% 10% 1% - - -
280 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% - -
280 LAUB William 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
280 KUSANAGI Soshi 100% 49% 10% 1% - - -
283 KIM Evan 100% 42% 6% - - - -
283 DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -
285 FAYETTE Julien 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
286 HENDERSON Jack 100% 21% 2% - - - -
286 XU Justin 100% 38% 6% - - - -
286 BARROWS Hunter 100% 33% 4% - - - -
289 SILVA Joaquin 100% 6% - - - - -
290 LESUEUR Luke J. 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
290 TASIKAS Stylianos 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.