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Event Results

Div I Men's Saber

December NACSurprise Map

Monday, December 12, 2022 at 8:00 AM Salt Lake City, UT, USA
167 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 SARON Mitchell S. V V V V V V V V V V V V V 5.8 6 +0.2
2 SMITH Jared C. D V D V V V V V V V V V D 5.3 4 -1.3
3 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip V V V D V V V V V V V D 5.5 5 -0.5
3 ELSISSY Ziad A. V V V V D V V V V V V D 5.9 5 -0.9
5 HEATHCOCK Antonio V V V V V V V V V V D 5.2 6 +0.8
6 JI Cody Walter V V V V D V V V V V D 4.7 5 +0.3
7 CHON Taylor A. V V V D V V V V V V D 3.8 5 +1.2
8 LEE Justin V D V V D V V V V V D 2.7 4 +1.3
9 ARMIJO Gabriel K. D V V V V V V V V D 5.0 5 -
10 YEN Darren V V D V V V V V D 3.9 4 +0.1
11 SOHN Kevin J. V V V D V V V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
12 MORRILL William D V V V D V V V V D 4.8 4 -0.8
13 MCBRIDE Jackson R. V V V D D V V V V D 5.0 4 -1.0
14 DENNER Lysander H. V V D D V V V V D 3.0 3 -
15 MACKIEWICZ Andrew A. V D V D V D V V V D 5.7 3 -2.7
16 ZU Kevin V V D V D D V V V D 4.4 3 -1.4
17 MAROUF Eyad V V V V V V V V D 4.8 6 +1.2
18 LIANG Connor V V V V V V V V D 4.0 6 +2.0
19 GUZZO Vito V V D V V V V V D 2.0 5 +3.0
20 HAMMERSTROM Jared V V V D V V V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
21 BENAVRAM Lev C. V V V D V V V D 3.8 4 +0.2
22 COSTIN Michael V. V V D V V V V D 4.0 4 -
23 DENNER Maximilian P. V V D V V D V V D 2.6 4 +1.4
24 WOODWARD Connor V D V V V D V V D 2.9 4 +1.1
25 YUN Jaesun V V D D V V V V D 4.0 4 -
26 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. V V V D D V V D 3.3 3 -0.3
27 SO Hananiah V V D V D V V D 3.2 3 -0.2
28 KOGAN Benjamin D V V D V D V V D 3.3 3 -0.3
29 DHINGRA Gian K. V D V D V D V V D 4.1 3 -1.1
30 LAI Adam J. D V V V D D V V D 4.3 3 -1.3
31 HARVEY Nicholas J. D V D V D V V D 3.7 2 -1.7
32 YANG Ziyi D V D D D V V V D 3.2 2 -1.2
33 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. V V V V V V V D 4.9 6 +1.1
34 WALKER Dalton F. V V V V V V V D 5.4 6 +0.6
35 CALLAHAN Jaden P. V V V V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
36 BOOTH Zaheer D V V V V V V D 5.2 5 -0.2
37 REN Junming V V V V V D V D 4.9 5 +0.1
38 WANG Charles V V D V V V V D 2.1 5 +2.9
39 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) V V D V V V V D 3.5 5 +1.5
40 CHAN Matthew D V V V V V V D 3.5 5 +1.5
41 EICHHORN Lukas H. V D V V V V V D 2.8 5 +2.2
42 ROBERTS Sam D V V V V V D 1.6 4 +2.4
43 NOBLE Colin D V V V V V D 2.9 4 +1.1
44 WOOD Elden S. V V D V V V D 4.4 4 -0.4
45 BERRIO Carter E. V D V V V V D 2.5 4 +1.5
46 BARNETT Adam V D V V V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
47 KIM Shawn J. V V V D V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
48 DENG Andrew V D V D V V V D 2.9 4 +1.1
49 JIANG Anthony V V D V D V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
50 LE Hayden V V D V D V V D 2.7 4 +1.3
51 REN James V D V D V V V D 1.6 4 +2.4
52 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. V D D V V V V D 4.3 4 -0.3
53 LO Konnor V D V V D V V D 1.2 4 +2.8
54 JEFFORDS Alexander V D V D V V D 2.7 3 +0.3
55 JOHNSON Langston C. D V V V D V D 2.4 3 +0.6
56 DOLAN Charles R. V V D D V V D 1.4 3 +1.6
57 XU William D V V D V D V D 3.3 3 -0.3
58 MAKLIN Edward P. D V D V V D V D 2.8 3 +0.2
59 WITEK Bernard J. D V D D V V V D 3.5 3 -0.5
60 WANG Eric Y. V D V D V D V D 3.2 3 -0.2
61 PATIL Aaryan A. D D V V D V V D 1.7 3 +1.3
62 PANDEY Neil D D D V V V V D 1.8 3 +1.2
63 KOLASA Thomas M. D D V D V V D 3.5 2 -1.5
64 GLOZMAN Justin D D D V V D V D 1.5 2 +0.5
65 BIERNACKI Maciej L. V V V V V V D 4.7 6 +1.3
66 ERMAKOV Lev V V D V V V D 3.3 5 +1.7
67 MICLAUS Justin V D V V V V D 2.7 5 +2.3
68 SIMAK Joseph P. V V V V D D 3.2 4 +0.8
69 TANN Justin V V V V D D 3.2 4 +0.8
70 TE VELDE Noah C. V D V V D V D 4.9 4 -0.9
71 LI Minghan D V V V D V D 2.1 4 +1.9
72 HUANG Ethan F. D V V V V D D 2.6 4 +1.4
73 KIM Shaun M. V V D V V D D 3.5 4 +0.5
74 NOBLE Daniel V V D V D V D 3.2 4 +0.8
75 LILOV Neil D D V V V V D 4.9 4 -0.9
76 BULL Anderson D V V V D V D 2.9 4 +1.1
77 GONZALEZ Emilio A. V V D V D V D 2.6 4 +1.4
78 TRAVERS Samir T. V V V V D D D 4.3 4 -0.3
79 HONG Rubin V V V D V D D 1.4 4 +2.6
80 DIACOS Jordan D V D V V V D 3.1 4 +0.9
81 ZHU Charlie V V D V D D 0.8 3 +2.2
82 KOTOV Leonid V V D V D D 1.8 3 +1.2
82 DESROSIERS Olivier D D V V V D 4.0 3 -1.0
84 CHOI HYUNSEOK D V V D V D 3.9 3 -0.9
85 ZENG Noah V D D V V D 1.3 3 +1.7
86 FENG Leo V V V D D D 2.2 3 +0.8
87 TONG ZACHARY V D V D V D 2.5 3 +0.5
88 KIM Alexander M. V D V D V D D 2.2 3 +0.8
89 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo D V D V V D D 3.9 3 -0.9
90 SHOMAN Zachary D D V V D V D 3.0 3 -
91 LINSKY Matthew V D D D V V D 4.1 3 -1.1
92 GHENEA George Philipe V V D D D V D 2.1 3 +0.9
93 BUCHMANN Finn D. D D V V D V D 1.7 3 +1.3
94 SWORDS Evan F. D V D V V D D 2.3 3 +0.7
95 HAN Daniel Y. D V V D V D D 1.9 3 +1.1
95 HOUTZ Jackson D V V D V D D 3.2 3 -0.2
97 GHAYALOD ansh V D D V D V D 3.0 3 -
98 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. V D V D D V D 3.4 3 -0.4
99 GEFELL Andrew P. V D V V D D D 3.3 3 -0.3
100 LIM William J. V D V D V D D 2.8 3 +0.2
101 HOLZ William A. D D V D V D 2.4 2 -0.4
101 WONG Ryan D D V V D D 1.7 2 +0.3
103 BABAYEV Gabriel A. D V D V D D 2.4 2 -0.4
103 HONG Steven D V D D V D 1.7 2 +0.3
105 ZUBATIY Samuel D D V D V D 2.4 2 -0.4
106 SCHERER Max D D V D V D 1.5 2 +0.5
107 MARGULIES William D D V V D D 1.7 2 +0.3
108 BONSELL Vance V D V D D D 1.5 2 +0.5
109 FALLICK Ozzie V D D V D D 2.2 2 -0.2
110 LUO George F. D V V D D D D 2.3 2 -0.3
111 NAZLYMOV Andrei D V D D V D D 2.7 2 -0.7
112 FRIAS SAUL F. D D D D V V D 4.1 2 -2.1
113 OH Triton D D V D D V D 1.8 2 +0.2
114 PAN Jerry V V D D D D D 3.5 2 -1.5
115 CHIN Matthew W. V V D D D D D 2.3 2 -0.3
116 MEDVEDEV Michail D. D D V V D D D 1.5 2 +0.5
117 YUN Jake D D D V V D D 3.1 2 -1.1
118 CADAMBI Roshan D D D V V D D 1.8 2 +0.2
119 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. D D V D D V D 4.0 2 -2.0
120 WILLIAMS Nolan E. V D V D D D D 4.2 2 -2.2
120 PAN Alex V V D D D D D 1.9 2 +0.1
120 REN Richard D D D V D V D 1.9 2 +0.1
123 ZHOU Miles D D V D V D D 1.8 2 +0.2
124 LINDHOLM Oliver S. D D D V D V D 2.1 2 -0.1
125 SLASTIN Andrew D V D V D D D 2.9 2 -0.9
126 CHOI Silas V D D V D D V D 2.6 2 -0.6
127 BEITEL Noah D D D V V D V D 1.8 2 +0.2
128 ATANASSOV Vasil V. D V D V D D V D 2.9 2 -0.9
129 WANG Nicolas D V D D V D D 1.8 2 +0.2
130 ASHBY Ethan J. D D V D D V D 2.0 2 -
130 LEE Aydan J. V D D D V D D 2.7 2 -0.7
132 SHIRPAL Oleksandr D V D D D V 1.7 2 +0.3
133 BAE Jason I. D D V D D V 2.4 2 -0.4
134 KIM-COGAN Ryan D D V V D D 2.2 2 -0.2
135 XU Andrew D D D V D 1.5 1 -0.5
136 HONG Vincent Q. D D D V D 1.9 1 -0.9
137 GOLDIN Lucca D D D D V 1.2 1 -0.2
138 PI Alexander V D D D D 0.7 1 +0.3
138 GUAY-TARDIF Xavier D D D V D 3.4 1 -2.4
140 PENG Bryan D V D D D 1.3 1 -0.3
141 GANTA Vijay V D D D D D 2.6 1 -1.6
142 STONE Esmond A. D D V D D D 1.4 1 -0.4
143 WANG Robert D D D D V D 1.8 1 -0.8
144 POPE Nico D V D D D D 2.9 1 -1.9
145 BARRETO Elliott D D D D V D 2.8 1 -1.8
146 WU Roger (Mengke) V D D D D D 3.1 1 -2.1
147 ROSBERG Dashiell W. V D D D D D 1.9 1 -0.9
148 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. D D V D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
149 VO Minh Q. D V D D D D 0.8 1 +0.2
150 CHEONG Heonjun D D D D D V 1.9 1 -0.9
150 QIU Nathan V D D D D D 2.0 1 -1.0
152 SHAHZAD Azlan A. D D D D D V 1.9 1 -0.9
153 BURR Tanner B. D V D D D D 2.0 1 -1.0
154 CORNEJO Jeffrey A. V D D D D D 1.9 1 -0.9
155 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu D D D V D D 1.7 1 -0.7
156 BOSITA Carson D D D D D V 1.0 1 -
157 NG Jeremiah V D D D D D 2.1 1 -1.1
158 XU Luke D D D D V D 2.2 1 -1.2
159 HAN William D D D D D 1.8 0 -1.8
160 PRIMUS Nazir D D D D D 1.5 0 -1.5
161 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. D D D D D D 0.7 0 -0.7
162 SHOMAN Noah D D D D D 2.2 0 -2.2
163 MCCARTHY Gabriel D D D D D 1.1 0 -1.1
164 LIU kelly D D D D D D 3.0 0 -3.0
165 LEITH Jack D D D D D D 0.8 0 -0.8
166 REYES Xavier M. D D D D D 2.2 0 -2.2
167 KAKEHI Nicholas B. D D D D D D 1.8 0 -1.8

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%