December NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Monday, December 12, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SARON Mitchell S. - - - - 1% 13% 86%
2 SMITH Jared C. - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
3 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
3 ELSISSY Ziad A. - - - - - 10% 89%
5 HEATHCOCK Antonio - - - 3% 15% 42% 41%
6 JI Cody Walter - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
7 CHON Taylor A. - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
8 LEE Justin 1% 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% -
9 ARMIJO Gabriel K. - - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
10 YEN Darren - 1% 6% 25% 42% 26%
11 SOHN Kevin J. - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
12 MORRILL William - - 1% 8% 24% 40% 27%
13 MCBRIDE Jackson R. - - - 4% 22% 45% 29%
14 DENNER Lysander H. - 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
15 MACKIEWICZ Andrew A. - - - < 1% 2% 23% 76%
16 ZU Kevin - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 12%
17 MAROUF Eyad - - - 3% 23% 62% 12%
18 LIANG Connor - 1% 6% 23% 36% 27% 7%
19 GUZZO Vito 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
20 HAMMERSTROM Jared - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
21 BENAVRAM Lev C. - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
22 COSTIN Michael V. - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
23 DENNER Maximilian P. 1% 10% 35% 39% 14% 1% -
24 WOODWARD Connor 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
25 YUN Jaesun - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
26 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - 2% 16% 39% 34% 9%
27 SO Hananiah - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
28 KOGAN Benjamin 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
29 DHINGRA Gian K. - 1% 5% 19% 37% 32% 6%
30 LAI Adam J. - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 11%
31 HARVEY Nicholas J. - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
32 YANG Ziyi 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
33 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
34 WALKER Dalton F. - - - 1% 9% 35% 54%
35 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - 1% 5% 21% 43% 31%
36 BOOTH Zaheer - - - 3% 16% 40% 40%
37 REN Junming - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
38 WANG Charles 4% 22% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
39 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
40 CHAN Matthew - 2% 13% 31% 36% 16% 1%
41 EICHHORN Lukas H. 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
42 ROBERTS Sam 10% 37% 37% 13% 2% -
43 NOBLE Colin 1% 7% 26% 40% 22% 3%
44 WOOD Elden S. - - 1% 8% 36% 54%
45 BERRIO Carter E. 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
46 BARNETT Adam - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
47 KIM Shawn J. - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
48 DENG Andrew 1% 10% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
49 JIANG Anthony - 2% 11% 30% 37% 17% 3%
50 LE Hayden 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
51 REN James 15% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
52 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
53 LO Konnor 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
54 JEFFORDS Alexander 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
55 JOHNSON Langston C. 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
56 DOLAN Charles R. 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
57 XU William - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11% -
58 MAKLIN Edward P. 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
59 WITEK Bernard J. - 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3%
60 WANG Eric Y. 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10% -
61 PATIL Aaryan A. 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
62 PANDEY Neil 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
63 KOLASA Thomas M. - 2% 13% 35% 38% 12%
64 GLOZMAN Justin 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
65 BIERNACKI Maciej L. - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
66 ERMAKOV Lev - 5% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
67 MICLAUS Justin 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
68 SIMAK Joseph P. - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
69 TANN Justin - 3% 17% 39% 33% 7%
70 TE VELDE Noah C. - - 1% 6% 25% 45% 24%
71 LI Minghan 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
72 HUANG Ethan F. 1% 10% 35% 39% 14% 1% -
73 KIM Shaun M. - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
74 NOBLE Daniel 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 10% 1%
75 LILOV Neil - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
76 BULL Anderson 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
77 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
78 TRAVERS Samir T. - - 4% 16% 36% 35% 9%
79 HONG Rubin 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
80 DIACOS Jordan 1% 7% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
81 ZHU Charlie 43% 41% 14% 2% - -
82 KOTOV Leonid 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
82 DESROSIERS Olivier - 1% 5% 20% 42% 32%
84 CHOI HYUNSEOK - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
85 ZENG Noah 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
86 FENG Leo 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
87 TONG ZACHARY 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
88 KIM Alexander M. 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
89 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
90 SHOMAN Zachary 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7% -
91 LINSKY Matthew - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 9%
92 GHENEA George Philipe 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
93 BUCHMANN Finn D. 12% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
94 SWORDS Evan F. 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
95 HAN Daniel Y. 6% 28% 39% 21% 5% 1% -
95 HOUTZ Jackson 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
97 GHAYALOD ansh 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7% -
98 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. - 2% 13% 38% 39% 8% -
99 GEFELL Andrew P. 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
100 LIM William J. 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 5% -
101 HOLZ William A. 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
101 WONG Ryan 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% -
103 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
103 HONG Steven 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
105 ZUBATIY Samuel 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2%
106 SCHERER Max 15% 38% 33% 13% 2% -
107 MARGULIES William 9% 35% 37% 16% 3% -
108 BONSELL Vance 14% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
109 FALLICK Ozzie 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
110 LUO George F. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
111 NAZLYMOV Andrei 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 4% -
112 FRIAS SAUL F. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
113 OH Triton 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
114 PAN Jerry - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
115 CHIN Matthew W. 5% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
116 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
117 YUN Jake 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
118 CADAMBI Roshan 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% - -
119 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. - 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 6%
120 WILLIAMS Nolan E. - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
120 PAN Alex 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
120 REN Richard 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
123 ZHOU Miles 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
124 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
125 SLASTIN Andrew 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
126 CHOI Silas 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3% -
127 BEITEL Noah 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% - -
128 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
129 WANG Nicolas 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
130 ASHBY Ethan J. 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
130 LEE Aydan J. 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
132 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 12% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
133 BAE Jason I. 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
134 KIM-COGAN Ryan 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
135 XU Andrew 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
136 HONG Vincent Q. 5% 28% 42% 21% 4% -
137 GOLDIN Lucca 24% 43% 26% 6% 1% -
138 PI Alexander 47% 40% 11% 1% - -
138 GUAY-TARDIF Xavier - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
140 PENG Bryan 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
141 GANTA Vijay 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
142 STONE Esmond A. 15% 41% 31% 11% 2% - -
143 WANG Robert 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
144 POPE Nico 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
145 BARRETO Elliott 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
146 WU Roger (Mengke) 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
147 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
148 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
149 VO Minh Q. 38% 43% 16% 3% - - -
150 CHEONG Heonjun 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
150 QIU Nathan 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
152 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
153 BURR Tanner B. 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
154 CORNEJO Jeffrey A. 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
155 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 12% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
156 BOSITA Carson 26% 48% 22% 4% - - -
157 NG Jeremiah 6% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
158 XU Luke 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
159 HAN William 8% 31% 39% 19% 4% -
160 PRIMUS Nazir 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
161 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 46% 40% 13% 2% - - -
162 SHOMAN Noah 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
163 MCCARTHY Gabriel 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
164 LIU kelly 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% -
165 LEITH Jack 38% 46% 15% 2% - - -
166 REYES Xavier M. 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
167 KAKEHI Nicholas B. 11% 31% 33% 19% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.