Fairfax Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, & VET)

Div I-A Women's Saber

Sunday, March 24, 2019 at 4:00 PM

Baltimore, MD - Baltimore, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOOGENDOORN Levi 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
2 HOOGENDOORN Sterre 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
3 SHEALY Maggie 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
3 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 9%
5 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
6 HONE Katarina G. 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
7 WALTER Zsofia R. 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
8 MACE Eliza M. 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 1%
9 VAN ATTA Grace Y. 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
10 LIU Rachel 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
10 BHATTACHARJEE Rhea 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2%
12 ZHOU Rebecca M. 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2%
13 CHEN Erica 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
14 CHANG Emily 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
15 TURNOF Kayla M. 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
16 YURT Leyla 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
17 DARINGA Arianna 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1%
18 AKARD Micah M. 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
19 CANSECO Laura K. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
20 BEATY Carlee 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
21 PAK Kaitlyn 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
22 NEWELL Alexia C. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
23 OLSEN Natalie J. 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
24 TANG Annie L. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
25 FERRARI-BRIDGERS Marinella O. 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
26 TAO Hannah J. 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
27 GUZMAN Claudia 100% 62% 21% 4% - -
28 MA Grace C. 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
29 SPORN Melanie 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
30 HU Allison C. 100% 93% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
31 CANNON Sophia E. 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.