The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

The Southern RYC/RJCC/ROC (D1A/DV2/VET) & Non-Regional Team

Cadet Women's Saber

Saturday, December 17, 2022 at 8:00 AM

John T. Rhodes Myrtle Beach Sports Center - Myrtle Beach, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HAMMERSTROM Aria - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 6%
2 FAVO Isabella - - 1% 10% 33% 40% 16%
3 FERNANDEZ Martina - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
3 FAN Grace - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 12%
5 LITTLE Avery - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
6 XIE Nora 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 3% -
7 TAN Kylie - - 2% 12% 35% 38% 13%
8 DANTULURI Shalini - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
9 SCOTT Eve - - 1% 11% 32% 39% 16%
10 BROWN Olivia - - - 5% 25% 45% 25%
11 CARTER Keely - 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1%
12 WUNNAVA Ellora 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
13 WANG Caroline 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
14 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra - - 1% 8% 29% 41% 20%
15 BERNARD Kathryn 5% 21% 33% 27% 11% 3% -
16 DONDERIS Katherine - - 4% 21% 38% 29% 7%
17 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 8% 32% 39% 18% 3% - -
18 LATYSHAVA Stephanie 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
19 DANTULURI Shivani 3% 22% 41% 26% 7% 1% -
20 HUANG Neila 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
21 MUELLER Sarah 21% 44% 28% 6% 1% - -
22 GERASIMOVA Valeria 6% 38% 40% 15% 2% - -
23 TRUBEY Elise - 3% 13% 28% 32% 18% 4%
24 ZENG Gina 62% 32% 6% - - - -
25 CHANG Julia 5% 24% 39% 26% 6% 1% -
26 ORLOVA Anastasia 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
27 LOPES Beatriz 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
27 ORLOVA Anna 2% 28% 41% 22% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.