Ava Ellis-Furlong

2007

Forge Fencing Teams

Win/Loss Statistics

2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 Before 2020 All Time
Victories 64 38 - - - 102
Losses 69 100 - - - 169
Win Ratio 48.1% 27.5% - - - 37.6%
Pool Victories 54 30 - - - 84
Pool Losses 50 80 - - - 130
Pool Win Ratio 51.9% 27.3% - - - 39.3%
DE Victories 10 8 - - - 18
DE Losses 19 20 - - - 39
DE Win Ratio 34.5% 28.6% - - - 31.6%

Note: Seasons start on August 1st and end on July 31st.

Scores

2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 Before 2020 All Time
Easy wins† 19 14 - - - 33
Easy wins as % of wins 29.7% 36.8% - - - 32.4%
Close wins‡ 18 7 - - - 25
Close wins as % of all wins 28.1% 18.4% - - - 24.5%
Close losses‡ 16 9 - - - 25
Close losses as % of all losses 23.2% 9.0% - - - 14.8%
Big losses† 25 56 - - - 81
Big losses as % of all losses 36.2% 56.0% - - - 47.9%

† Easy victories or big losses are those with the score difference of 4 or more touches in a pool, 7 or more touches in direct elimination, and 5 or more in veteran and youth direct elimination.
‡ Close bouts are those with the score difference of 1 or fewer touches in a pool, 3 or fewer touches in direct elimination, or 2 or fewer touches in veteran or youth direct elimination.

Events

2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 Before 2020 All Time
Events 19 21 - - - 40
Tournaments 10 14 - - - 24

Competition History

NoVA Knights RYC/RJCC& NON-REGIONAL VET

Junior Women's Saber (C1, JNR), April 21, 2024
Place 6, Seed 6, Not ranked, Rating D23, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:3 SOHN Juniper 12 E23 15 Royal Fencing Academy 859 1705 2.1 91%
Pool W 5:3 LATYSHAVA Stephanie 7 D23 11 Nazlymov Fencing Foundation 1734 1707 10.2 48%
Pool W 5:4 BARBORIAK Emily 16 U 10 Nova Fencing Club 1373 1717 5.8 71%
Pool L 4:5 HENRY Soraya S. 1 115 C24 1 DC Fencers Club / Nazlymov Fencing Foundation 2166 1723 4.9 23%
Pool W 5:2 KIM Grace 13 U 14 Capital Fencing Academy 1026 1718 2.9 87%
T16 W 15:3 KIM Grace 13 U 14 Capital Fencing Academy 1294 1642 14.0 70%
T8 L 8:15 DHAR Layla 2 124 B23 2 Capital Fencing Academy 2461 1656 5.5 9%

Junior Olympics

Cadet Women's Saber (A4, CDT), February 19, 2024
Place 117, Seed 138, Not ranked, Rating D23, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 0:5 KANDADAI Lara 143 D23 137 Manhattan Fencing Center 1881 1700 7.6 38%
Pool W 5:3 GRULICH Rayaana 68 88 B23 64 Oregon Fencing Alliance 2247 1692 17.9 18%
Pool W 5:1 MCCAWLEY Madeleine 212 U 237 Lincoln Square Fencing 499 1710 0.7 98%
Pool L 4:5 HSU Leah 73 96 B23 48 Nellya Fencers 2152 1711 4.9 23%
Pool L 0:5 PAUL Lila 3 6 A23 3 Sheridan Fencing Academy 2828 1706 0.9 3%
T256 W 15:11 MERMEGAS Olivia 192 E23 141 Tim Morehouse Fencing Club 1783 1615 30.8 39%
T128 L 11:15 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 27 33 B23 19 West Coast Fencing Academy 2646 1645 3.4 5%

Junior Olympics

Junior Women's Saber (A4, JNR), February 17, 2024
Place 175, Seed 176, Not ranked, Rating D23, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 3:5 GORMAN Victoria M. 41 64 A24 6 Zeta Fencing / Duke University Fencing NCAA 2767 1684 1.0 4%
Pool L 4:5 ZHAO Emily W. 186 D22 191 Miracle Fencing Club 1979 1683 6.3 31%
Pool L 2:5 MERCHANT Aishwarya 104 159 C24 77 New Jersey Fencing Alliance / Advance Fencing And Fitness Academy 2119 1677 4.9 23%
Pool W 5:3 WANG Jiayi 246 U 204 South Bay Fencing Academy 1798 1672 11.5 42%
Pool L 2:5 BEVACQUA Aria F. 32 51 A23 27 Manhattan Fencing Center 2796 1684 0.9 3%
Pool W 5:4 DAVIS Jayna M. 114 B23 201 2177 1683 17.1 21%
T256 L 11:15 GOMERMAN Sophia 91 141 B23 88 Long Island Fencing Center / Manhattan Fencing Center 2490 1620 5.0 8%

Forge Winter Fight!

Senior Mixed Saber (A2, SNR), December 30, 2023
Place 19, Seed 12, Not ranked, Rating D23, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:3 EYSTER Edison 22 U 21 Forge Fencing Teams
Pool L 3:5 HUANG Neila 9 D23 20 Forge Fencing Teams 1692 1691 9.8 50%
Pool L 1:5 SU Landon 2 A23 2 Miracle Fencing Club
Pool W 5:1 ORLOVA anastasia 29 U 30 Foothills Fencing Academy 1002 1681 3.0 86%
Pool W 5:3 FENG Brendan 19 E23 22 Miracle Fencing Club
T32 L 7:15 SUN Ziyao 11 D23 14 Forge Fencing Teams

The Southern RYC/RJCC/ROC (VET/D1A/DV2/TEAM)

Cadet Women's Saber (E1, CDT), December 18, 2023
Place 3, Seed 4, Not ranked, Rating D23, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:1 WANG Caroline 7 U 7 Forge Fencing Teams 1577 1664 8.9 56%
Pool W 5:2 COOVADIA Malina 8 U 6 Forge Fencing Teams 1537 1673 8.2 59%
Pool L 3:5 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 3 146 C23 3 Nellya Fencers 2037 1681 5.8 28%
Pool W 5:0 LOZIER Camryn 5 U 8 Triple Threat Fencing Academy 751 1675 1.7 93%
Pool W 5:2 WANG Callie 2 121 C23 1 Nellya Fencers 2128 1677 16.6 23%
Pool W 5:4 BERNARD Kathryn 1 104 C23 2 Triple Threat Fencing Academy 2058 1694 15.1 27%
Pool L 0:5 FLEEGER Sophia 6 U 5 Miracle Fencing Club 1185 1709 17.5 81%
T8 W 15:2 WANG Caroline 7 U 7 Forge Fencing Teams 1527 1605 23.5 55%
T4 L 13:15 WANG Callie 2 121 C23 1 Nellya Fencers 2264 1629 8.8 15%

The Southern RYC/RJCC/ROC (VET/D1A/DV2/TEAM)

Div I-A Women's Saber (E1, D1A), December 18, 2023
Place 6, Seed 5, Not ranked, Rating D23, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 1:5 COOVADIA Malina 9 U 7 Forge Fencing Teams 1516 1637 11.9 58%
Pool L 1:5 XIE Nora 4 D23 3 Forge Fencing Teams 1980 1625 5.9 28%
Pool L 3:5 STAPLETON Lindsay K. 3 C23 2 2741 1619 0.9 3%
Pool W 5:3 BERNARD Kathryn 2 C23 3 Triple Threat Fencing Academy 2053 1619 16.8 24%
Pool W 5:2 COLBY Mercer 7 E23 8 Nova Fencing Club 1842 1635 13.1 37%
Pool L 4:5 NADKARNI Marisa 8 E23 5 Capital Fencing Academy 1779 1648 8.4 41%
Pool W 5:2 MENKE Kavya I. 1 B21 1 Athens Fencing Club 2532 1640 24.0 7%
T8 L 11:15 BERNARD Kathryn 2 C23 3 Triple Threat Fencing Academy 2246 1614 9.4 15%

The Southern RYC/RJCC/ROC (VET/D1A/DV2/TEAM)

Junior Women's Saber (C1, JNR), December 17, 2023
Place 14, Seed 8, Not ranked, Rating D23, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 1:5 CHI Claire 12 E23 5 Capital Fencing Academy 1826 1633 7.9 37%
Pool W 5:4 GRAJALES Hannah E. 2 152 C23 7 Stoccata Fencing Academy & Club 2267 1625 20.5 14%
Pool L 2:5 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 5 C23 3 Nellya Fencers 2059 1645 5.4 25%
Pool W 5:2 GERASIMOVA Valeria 17 U 17 Cape Fear Fencing Association / Research Triangle Fencing 1185 1640 5.0 77%
Pool L 2:5 COLBY Mercer 11 E23 3 Nova Fencing Club 1871 1645 7.4 35%
T16 L 13:15 CHI Claire 12 E23 5 Capital Fencing Academy 1773 1637 23.0 41%

The Southern RYC/RJCC/ROC (VET/D1A/DV2/TEAM)

Div II Women's Saber (D1, DV2), December 16, 2023
Place 10, Seed 3, Not ranked, Rating D23, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:0 MILLER SACKMAN Anita 15 U 15 North Florida Fencing Club 906 1644 2.9 88%
Pool W 5:1 ORLOVA Anna 14 U 12 767 1647 2.1 91%
Pool L 2:5 DONDERIS Katherine 9 E23 6 Stoccata Fencing Academy & Club 1810 1649 8.4 39%
Pool L 3:5 CHI Claire 4 E23 5 Capital Fencing Academy 1818 1641 8.1 38%
T16 L 11:15 BERNARD Kathryn 2 C23 1 Triple Threat Fencing Academy 2191 1649 11.8 19%

December SJCC + Division 1 NAC

Cadet Women's Saber (B3, CDT), December 4, 2023
Place 99, Seed 62, Not ranked, Rating D23, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 1:5 ZHANG XUANYI 3 33 B23 1 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 2495 1664 2.2 8%
Pool L 0:5 UEMOTO Lynn 99 U 64 Durkan Fencing Academy 1670 1662 10.4 49%
Pool W 5:0 ZHANG Jiaqing 94 E23 102 Capital Fencing Academy 1535 1651 8.8 58%
Pool L 4:5 FENG Alicia G. 67 D23 75 Premier Fencing Academy 1879 1660 7.6 36%
Pool L 2:5 ZHANG Chenfei 30 87 C23 10 Bergen Fencing Club 2264 1653 3.7 15%
Pool L 3:5 BUHAY Kirsten M. 36 101 C23 42 Fencing Academy Of Denver 2114 1649 5.0 22%
T128 L 8:15 BUSH Bethany 38 106 C23 39 Manhattan Fencing Center 2350 1658 8.8 13%

December SJCC + Division 1 NAC

Junior Women's Saber (A4, JNR), December 3, 2023
Place 100, Seed 98, Not ranked, Rating D23, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:1 HENRY Soraya S. 80 C23 83 DC Fencers Club / Nazlymov Fencing Foundation 2191 1664 19.1 19%
Pool L 3:5 BAIRD Kaleah 125 E23 105 Southern California Fencing Academy (SOCALFA) 1333 1683 15.9 72%
Pool L 1:5 ZHENG Valentina 53 135 D23 38 Lilov Fencing Academy 2064 1667 5.7 25%
Pool L 3:5 LIN Nicole 36 103 A23 39 Frisco Fencing Academy 2426 1662 2.6 10%
Pool W 5:2 XU Demi 144 U 142 Rochester Fencing Club 1187 1659 4.9 78%
T128 L 10:15 JEONG Katie 14 59 A22 41 Bergen Fencing Club 2754 1661 3.1 4%

October NAC

Div II Women's Saber (B3, DV2), October 29, 2023
Place 38, Seed 51, Not ranked, Rating D23, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:2 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 59 D23 84 Nellya Fencers 2037 1601 18.2 23%
Pool L 4:5 FREEMAN Armine 86 E23 88 Boston Fencing Club / Brown University NCAA 1885 1619 7.4 33%
Pool W 5:4 TENG EMMA 23 C23 60 2062 1612 18.2 23%
Pool W 5:1 LEE Lauren 95 E23 86 San Diego Fencing Center 1964 1630 16.1 29%
Pool W 5:3 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 14 C23 46 Advance Fencing And Fitness Academy 2114 1646 18.2 22%
T128 W 15:7 HO Sophia 77 D23 106 Long Island Fencing Center 1685 1638 32.0 47%
T64 L 8:15 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 33 C23 28 Nellya Fencers 2358 1670 9.1 13%

October NAC

Cadet Women's Saber (A4, CDT), October 27, 2023
Place 88, Seed 117, Not ranked, Rating D23, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:4 KIM Audrey 159 U 134 Manhattan Fencing Center / Manhattan Fencing of Englewood 1517 1526 11.3 51%
Pool W 5:3 LIM Jaslene 40 44 C23 114 PDX Fencing 2484 1538 28.5 6%
Pool W 5:1 DONDERIS Katherine 144 E23 170 Stoccata Fencing Academy & Club 1864 1566 16.0 31%
Pool L 1:5 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 93 109 D23 42 Fencing Academy Of Denver 2336 1582 2.9 11%
Pool W 5:4 HU Michelle 65 72 C23 97 Spartak 2248 1579 22.6 13%
Pool L 2:5 NATH Trisha 13 16 A23 5 Bergen Fencing Club 2720 1602 1.0 3%
T128 L 9:15 HUANG Rachael 43 49 B23 48 Lilov Fencing Academy 2436 1646 7.6 10%

The Bull City RJCC, RYC & Y8

Cadet Women's Saber (C1, CDT), October 15, 2023
Place 11, Seed 14, Not ranked, Rating E23, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:4 BARROSO Isabela 11 E23 19 Nova Fencing Club 1660 1504 14.4 40%
Pool W 5:0 FLEEGER Sophia 23 U 22 Miracle Fencing Club 1062 1518 5.7 77%
Pool W 5:2 DANTULURI Shalini 3 70 B23 3 Nellya Fencers 2068 1524 21.3 18%
Pool L 4:5 SEBASTIAN Ava 17 U 13 Middle Tennessee Fencing Club 1428 1545 13.5 58%
Pool L 1:5 CARTER Keely 5 102 D23 1 Research Triangle Fencing 1987 1532 5.6 23%
T16 L 5:15 XU Emily T. 1 35 C23 7 Miracle Fencing Club 2475 1653 7.1 9%

The Bull City RJCC, RYC & Y8

Junior Women's Saber (C1, JNR), October 14, 2023
Place 3, Seed 11, Not ranked, Rating E23, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:4 XIE Nora 5 D23 7 Forge Fencing Teams 1934 1437 21.6 20%
Pool W 5:4 TAN Kylie 8 E23 6 Nellya Fencers 1844 1458 19.1 26%
Pool W 5:1 DANTULURI Shivani 19 U 15 Nellya Fencers 1326 1478 9.8 60%
Pool W 5:3 BARROSO Isabela 13 E23 8 Nova Fencing Club 1673 1487 15.2 38%
Pool L 3:5 XU Emily T. 2 137 C23 10 Miracle Fencing Club 2039 1503 4.9 19%
Pool W 5:4 GERASIMOVA Valeria 18 U 19 Cape Fear Fencing Association / Research Triangle Fencing 1095 1498 6.4 75%
T16 W 15:14 COLBY Mercer 12 E23 14 Nova Fencing Club 1926 1573 51.8 29%
T8 W 15:14 HUANG Neila 4 D23 5 Forge Fencing Teams 1731 1625 37.6 43%
T4 L 9:15 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 3 C23 2 Nellya Fencers 2368 1662 9.5 13%

River City Regional Rumble RJCC / RYC & Y8

Junior Women's Saber (C2, JNR), September 24, 2023
Place 7, Seed 19, Not ranked, Rating U, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:2 COOVADIA Malina 23 U 19 Forge Fencing Teams 1264 1410 10.5 59%
Pool L 2:5 CHI Claire 14 E23 18 Capital Fencing Academy 1828 1421 6.8 25%
Pool L 4:5 BERNARD Kathryn 3 129 C23 1 Triple Threat Fencing Academy 2013 1414 4.6 16%
Pool L 0:5 XU Emily T. 6 137 C23 5 Miracle Fencing Club 2058 1409 4.2 14%
Pool W 5:3 CAO Sophie 12 D22 20 Nazlymov Fencing Foundation 1781 1405 19.6 27%
Pool W 5:1 BARBORIAK Emily 25 U 26 Nova Fencing Club 1398 1425 11.9 52%
T32 W 15:7 WUNNAVA Elina 17 E22 23 Forge Fencing Teams 1697 1494 49.5 37%
T16 W 15:13 BARROSO Isabela 13 E23 11 Nova Fencing Club 1716 1543 45.4 39%
T8 L 6:15 BERNARD Kathryn 3 129 C23 1 Triple Threat Fencing Academy 2106 1589 15.9 20%

River City Regional Rumble RJCC / RYC & Y8

Cadet Women's Saber (C2, CDT), September 23, 2023
Place 23, Seed 13, Not ranked, Rating U, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:4 CARTER Keely 4 102 D23 14 Research Triangle Fencing 1988 1413 25.0 17%
Pool L 3:5 TA-ZHOU Emma 27 U 10 Nazlymov Fencing Foundation 1797 1438 7.7 28%
Pool L 4:5 BARROSO Isabela 12 E23 19 Nova Fencing Club 1628 1431 9.9 37%
Pool L 0:5 HENRY Soraya S. 5 106 C23 3 DC Fencers Club 2226 1421 2.9 9%
Pool L 1:5 FAN Alexandria 19 U 22 Miracle Fencing Club 1775 1418 7.6 28%
T32 L 14:15 LATYSHAVA Stephanie 6 D23 11 Nazlymov Fencing Foundation 1883 1518 24.1 28%

Stas Krivosheev Memorial RYC / RJCC - Saber Only

Junior Women's Saber (C1, JNR), September 9, 2023
Place 17, Seed 20, Not ranked, Rating U, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 2:5 LITTLE Avery 12 D22 12 Stoccata Fencing Academy & Club 2186 1355 3.0 8%
Pool L 0:5 CHEN Kevy 13 D22 2 Sigma Fencing Academy 2040 1352 4.2 13%
Pool W 5:2 DANTULURI Shivani 18 U 19 Nellya Fencers 1329 1348 13.7 51%
Pool W 5:4 WANG Callie 7 D23 14 Nellya Fencers 2113 1362 30.0 11%
Pool W 5:4 HAMMERSTROM Aria 1 B23 9 Nellya Fencers 1951 1392 25.1 18%
Pool L 2:5 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 6 C22 5 Nellya Fencers 2192 1417 3.3 10%
T32 L 13:15 TRUBEY Elise 19 U 16 Athens Fencing Club 1876 1544 25.9 30%

Stas Krivosheev Memorial RYC / RJCC - Saber Only

Cadet Women's Saber (C1, CDT), September 8, 2023
Place 15, Seed 17, Not ranked, Rating U, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 1:5 DANTULURI Shalini 4 C23 6 Nellya Fencers 2020 1347 4.5 13%
Pool W 5:1 LIU Hannah 3 C23 8 Sigma Fencing Academy 1900 1343 26.6 18%
Pool L 4:5 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 15 E23 2 Nellya Fencers 2069 1369 4.2 12%
Pool L 1:5 WANG Callie 10 D23 13 Nellya Fencers 2154 1365 3.4 10%
Pool L 0:5 PADANILAM Lily 11 D23 11 Nellya Fencers 1825 1362 6.8 22%
T16 L 14:15 DANTULURI Shalini 4 C23 6 Nellya Fencers 2172 1560 16.4 16%

The Big Blue Annual 3 Weapon & Youth Tournament

Senior Women's Saber (E1, SNR), August 27, 2023
Place 2, Seed 4, Not ranked, Rating U, Forge Fencing
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:2 COOVADIA Malina 5 U 3 Forge Fencing 1246 1297 14.3 53%
Pool W 5:2 JULIEN Erica 2 U 6 Forge Fencing / Cape Fear Fencing Association 1355 1311 16.1 47%
Pool W 5:3 WUNNAVA Ellora 6 U 3 Forge Fencing Teams 1530 1327 19.3 37%
Pool L 3:5 HUANG Neila 1 E23 1 Forge Fencing Teams 1694 1347 8.8 28%
Pool W 5:4 WILFRET Katerina 3 U 5 Forge Fencing 1049 1338 9.5 68%
T8 W 15:3 JULIEN Erica 2 U 6 Forge Fencing / Cape Fear Fencing Association 1850 1476 77.1 28%
T4 W 15:11 WUNNAVA Ellora 6 U 3 Forge Fencing Teams 1587 1553 50.6 48%
T2 L 12:15 HUANG Neila 1 E23 1 Forge Fencing Teams 1651 1603 43.2 47%

National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div II Women's Saber (B3, DV2), July 6, 2023
Place 64, Seed 126, Not ranked, Rating U, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:4 RANJAN Diya 86 E23 99 ESCRIMEUR FENCERS CLUB 1698 1238 27.7 22%
Pool W 5:3 CHIN Elise 36 D23 12 Premier Fencing Academy 2252 1266 41.8 5%
Pool L 0:5 CHI Claire 76 E23 69 Capital Fencing Academy 1677 1307 9.1 27%
Pool L 2:5 SADANI Jyotika 46 D23 96 Lone Star Fencing Center 1604 1298 9.9 31%
Pool L 1:5 LIAO Siwen 6 C23 33 Miracle Fencing Club / Nazlymov Fencing Foundation 2384 1289 1.6 4%
Pool W 5:4 ABDULLAHI Saara 115 U 127 1056 1287 9.9 63%
T128 W 15:10 TESTROET Aubrey 74 E23 68 Northwest Indiana Fencing Club 2377 1342 147.6 6%
T64 L 7:15 DAI Olivia 15 C23 6 Bergen Fencing Club 2268 1490 14.3 11%

National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Cadet Women's Saber (A4, CDT), July 4, 2023
Place 118, Seed 160, Not ranked, Rating U, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 2:5 MUNGUIA Mila 183 U 178 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1635 1166 8.4 22%
Pool L 4:5 KER Grace 10 10 A23 14 Cardinal Fencing Club 2826 1157 0.2 < 1%
Pool W 5:4 HAMMERSTROM Aria 122 D23 121 Nellya Fencers 1901 1157 37.8 11%
Pool W 5:3 MAKLIN Sofia 47 49 B23 30 Dynamo Fencing Center Inc. 2419 1195 51.5 2%
Pool L 4:5 CROOKS Riley 103 C23 87 Integrity Fencing Studio 1836 1246 6.2 16%
Pool L 4:5 BERMAN greta 65 68 D23 23 Manhattan Fencing Center 2261 1240 2.1 5%
T256 W 15:9 HAN Emma 177 U 141 South Bay Fencing Academy 1453 1265 81.4 39%
T128 L 4:15 WU Helen 22 22 A22 34 Advance Fencing And Fitness Academy 2650 1346 3.8 2%

Raleigh SJCC & Division II North American Cup

Junior Women's Saber (A2/B3, JNR), June 4, 2023
Place 88, Seed 103, Not ranked, Rating U, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 1:5 GUGALA Hanna 35 C23 12 Bergen Fencing Club 1858 1098 4.8 11%
Pool W 5:3 KHOST Maeve 112 U 105 Manhattan Fencing Center 1614 1094 32.9 20%
Pool L 1:5 PAUL Lila 1 36 A23 5 Sheridan Fencing Academy 2814 1127 0.2 < 1%
Pool W 5:2 FANG Sophie 70 D22 62 Sigma Fencing Academy 1970 1126 42.2 8%
Pool L 0:5 GRAJALES Hannah E. 73 D22 29 Stoccata Fencing Academy & Club 2335 1169 1.4 3%
Pool L 2:5 KHAN Alissa 36 C23 53 Dynamo Fencing Center Inc. 2308 1167 1.6 3%
T128 L 5:15 FEIG Sela 18 105 D23 8 Bergen Fencing Club 2524 1270 5.0 2%

Raleigh SJCC & Division II North American Cup

Cadet Women's Saber (B3, CDT), June 2, 2023
Place 84, Seed 74, Not ranked, Rating U, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 1:5 PADANILAM Lily 48 E23 35 Nellya Fencers 1803 1125 6.0 13%
Pool L 2:5 MANKOVA Varvara 24 79 D23 22 Tim Morehouse Fencing Club 2022 1119 3.4 7%
Pool L 0:5 DEHON Inès 50 E23 40 Columbus Fencing And Fitness LLC 1973 1116 3.8 8%
Pool L 3:5 BAIREDDY Maya 77 U 31 Manhattan Fencing Center 1667 1112 7.7 18%
Pool L 0:5 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 1 22 B23 26 Laguna Fencing Center 2394 1104 1.0 2%
Pool L 1:5 GUGALA Hanna 25 81 C23 74 Bergen Fencing Club 1856 1103 4.9 11%
T128 L 7:15 XU Emily T. 5 32 D23 47 Miracle Fencing Club 2526 1275 5.2 3%

Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Cadet Women's Saber (C2, CDT), April 16, 2023
Place 27, Seed 26, Not ranked, Rating U, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 2:5 CHI Claire 15 E23 10 Capital Fencing Academy 1710 1157 8.2 18%
Pool L 3:5 MCAFEE Jada 21 U 19 Nova Fencing Club 1761 1149 7.2 16%
Pool L 3:5 ELNATAN Mica A. 11 D21 13 Alle Fencing Club / Scarsdale Fencing Center 1736 1142 7.3 16%
Pool L 3:5 FAVO Isabella 2 39 D23 7 Elite Fencing Academy (GA) 2276 1134 1.7 3%
Pool L 1:5 TA-ZHOU Emma 20 U 16 Nazlymov Fencing Foundation 1730 1133 7.2 16%
T32 L 7:15 BERNARD Kathryn 13 E23 6 Triple Threat Fencing Academy 1917 1302 27.2 17%

Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Junior Women's Saber (C2, JNR), April 15, 2023
Place 21, Seed 27, Not ranked, Rating U, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:4 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 6 D23 25 Nova Fencing Club 2038 1054 57.1 5%
Pool W 5:2 BRUNGARDT Gabriela 30 U 31 Fencing Sports Academy, Inc. 810 1111 13.7 69%
Pool L 2:5 CHI Claire 23 E23 5 Capital Fencing Academy 1685 1125 8.5 18%
Pool L 3:5 FERNANDEZ Martina 5 D23 3 Nellya Fencers 2166 1116 2.5 4%
Pool W 5:2 ELNATAN Mica A. 16 D21 20 Alle Fencing Club / Scarsdale Fencing Center 1810 1114 42.9 13%
T32 L 10:15 COLBY Mercer 22 E23 13 Nova Fencing Club 1890 1335 32.4 20%

NC Div2/3/Y14 National Qualifying Tournament

Div II Women's Saber (U, DV2), March 26, 2023
Place 1, Seed 2, Not ranked, Rating U, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 4:5 GERASIMOVA Valeria 1 U 2 Cape Fear Fencing Association / Forge Fencing Teams 1139 1075 20.9 46%
T2 W 15:8 GERASIMOVA Valeria 1 U 2 Cape Fear Fencing Association / Forge Fencing Teams 920 1288 46.8 70%

River City Regional Rumble RYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Saber (C1, JNR), February 12, 2023
Place 16, Seed 16, Not ranked, Rating U, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 2:5 TODD Phoebe 9 D22 14 Forge Fencing Teams 2088 1100 3.4 5%
Pool L 2:5 LIAO Siwen 4 C22 5 Miracle Fencing Club / Nazlymov Fencing Foundation 2435 1096 1.1 1%
Pool L 2:5 BARROSO Isabela 14 U 8 Nova Fencing Club 1419 1095 14.5 30%
Pool L 2:5 ZENG Megan 10 D21 10 Capital Fencing Academy 2204 1081 2.2 3%
Pool L 0:5 BOYNTON Ainsley 3 C23 7 Nazlymov Fencing Foundation 2060 1078 3.3 5%
T32 W 15:11 GERASIMOVA Valeria 15 U 17 Cape Fear Fencing Association / Forge Fencing Teams 972 1258 60.4 66%
T16 L 7:15 NICHOLAS Eva 13 U 6 Alle Fencing Club 1970 1319 30.9 16%

River City Regional Rumble RYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Saber (C1, CDT), February 11, 2023
Place 20, Seed 19, Not ranked, Rating U, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 3:5 COLBY Mercer 9 E23 6 Nova Fencing Club 1876 1134 6.8 11%
Pool L 2:5 TA-ZHOU Emma 15 U 12 Nazlymov Fencing Foundation 1648 1128 10.7 20%
Pool L 3:5 CARTER Keely 8 E23 16 Research Triangle Fencing 1807 1117 7.4 13%
Pool L 1:5 SCOTT Eve 1 77 C23 1 Capital Fencing Academy / Fencing Sports Academy, Inc. 2201 1109 2.5 4%
Pool L 3:5 NICHOLAS Eva 16 U 13 Alle Fencing Club 1794 1107 7.3 13%
T32 L 7:15 XU Emily T. 5 D22 8 Miracle Fencing Club 2490 1267 8.7 3%

Ryder Cup Memorial RJCC

Cadet Women's Saber (E1, CDT), February 5, 2023
Place 11, Seed 7, Not ranked, Rating U, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 1:5 WANG Caroline 12 U 7 Forge Fencing Teams 1670 1141 11.9 19%
Pool L 2:5 WUNNAVA Elina 2 E22 6 Forge Fencing Teams 1681 1129 11.2 18%
Pool W 5:1 COOVADIA Malina 14 U 9 Forge Fencing Teams 871 1117 18.6 65%
Pool L 1:5 BERNARD Kathryn 3 E22 5 Triple Threat Fencing Academy 1930 1136 6.3 10%
Pool W 5:3 GERASIMOVA Vasilisa 10 U 14 Cape Fear Fencing Association / Forge Fencing Teams 680 1130 12.8 76%
Pool L 3:5 TAN Kylie 6 U 2 Nellya Fencers 1807 1143 8.2 14%
T16 L 8:15 WANG Caroline 12 U 7 Forge Fencing Teams 1504 1352 84.6 41%

Ryder Cup Memorial RJCC

Junior Women's Saber (E1, JNR), February 4, 2023
Place 11, Seed 13, Not ranked, Rating U, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 1:5 WUNNAVA Elina 4 E22 5 Forge Fencing Teams 1697 1196 14.4 21%
Pool W 5:1 COOVADIA Malina 9 U 12 Forge Fencing Teams 752 1181 15.9 75%
Pool L 4:5 HUANG Neila 11 U 8 Forge Fencing Teams 1637 1197 15.3 24%
Pool L 1:5 GERASIMOVA Valeria 8 U 9 Cape Fear Fencing Association / Forge Fencing Teams 1165 1182 29.9 51%
Pool L 3:5 NYSTROM Sofia C. 1 83 C22 1 Nellya Fencers 2480 1152 1.4 2%
Pool L 1:5 CARTER Keely 5 E22 2 Research Triangle Fencing 1773 1151 10.1 16%
T16 L 3:15 TODD Phoebe 2 D22 6 Forge Fencing Teams 2385 1370 18.5 7%

Forge Fencing Priority on NC:D3 Foil/Epee/Saber

Div III Mixed Saber (D1, DV3), January 22, 2023
Place 14, Seed 21, Not ranked, Rating U, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:2 THARRINGTON Samuel 23 U 20 University of North Carolina at Greensboro Fencing Club
Pool L 0:5 MAHER Jason 15 U 8 Fencing Club At NC State
Pool L 1:5 MOL Spencer 3 D22 2 Fencing Club At NC State
Pool W 5:1 RICHMAN Izak 11 U 22 Forge Fencing
Pool L 0:5 KLEIN Andrew J. 6 D21 3 Forge Fencing
T32 W 15:8 FOLK William 13 U 19 University of North Carolina at Greensboro Fencing Club
T16 L 2:15 MOL Spencer 3 D22 2 Fencing Club At NC State

Capitol Clash SYC/RCC

Cadet Women's Saber (C3, CDT), January 16, 2023
Place 78, Seed 83, Not ranked, Rating U, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 1:5 MANKOVA Varvara 73 U 51 Tim Morehouse Fencing Club 1960 1150 8.7 10%
Pool W 5:3 DANTULURI Shalini 7 88 E22 41 Nellya Fencers 1972 1141 80.3 9%
Pool L 0:5 DHAR Layla 32 E22 42 Capital Fencing Academy 1939 1222 9.7 12%
Pool L 1:5 ZHAO Emily W. 20 D22 63 Miracle Fencing Club 2106 1212 6.2 7%
Pool L 2:5 MANI Francesca B. 60 U 53 Advance Fencing And Fitness Academy / Cobra Fencing Club LLC 2094 1206 6.2 8%
Pool L 0:5 BERMAN greta 46 E22 34 Manhattan Fencing Center 2250 1200 3.9 4%
T128 L 7:15 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 36 E22 55 Dynamo Fencing Center Inc. 1857 1438 67.7 27%

The Southern RYC/RJCC/ROC (D1A/DV2/VET) & Non-Regional Team

Junior Women's Saber (D1, JNR), December 18, 2022
Place 22, Seed 12, Not ranked, Rating U, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 1:5 TODD Phoebe 5 E22 15 Forge Fencing Teams 2116 1203 7.2 7%
Pool L 0:5 BERNARD Kathryn 22 U 10 Triple Threat Fencing Academy 1877 1196 12.3 14%
Pool L 0:5 FERNANDEZ Martina 4 E22 11 Nellya Fencers 2190 1184 5.4 5%
Pool L 3:5 DANTULURI Shivani 15 U 17 Nellya Fencers 1374 1179 28.5 38%
T32 L 8:15 DANTULURI Shalini 21 U 2 Nellya Fencers 2055 1498 60.0 21%

The Southern RYC/RJCC/ROC (D1A/DV2/VET) & Non-Regional Team

Cadet Women's Saber (D1, CDT), December 17, 2022
Place 17, Seed 20, Not ranked, Rating U, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:1 MUELLER Sarah 25 U 21 Forge Fencing Teams 1132 1106 47.5 48%
Pool L 1:5 TAN Kylie 28 U 7 Nellya Fencers 2023 1153 9.6 9%
Pool L 1:5 BROWN Olivia 5 D21 10 Stoccata Fencing Academy & Club 2137 1144 6.6 6%
Pool L 2:5 FAVO Isabella 4 D22 2 Elite Fencing Academy (GA) 2075 1137 7.5 7%
Pool W 5:0 CHANG Julia 12 U 25 Capital Fencing Academy 1277 1130 50.3 41%
Pool W 5:0 ORLOVA Anna 13 U 27 866 1180 23.5 66%
T32 L 5:15 DANTULURI Shalini 2 88 U 8 Nellya Fencers 2028 1580 81.7 26%

Forge Fencing Priority on Youth #2 of 5

Junior Mixed Saber (U, JNR), December 3, 2022
Place 9, Seed 7, Not ranked, Rating U, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:3 GRAMBOW Grayden 11 U 11 Forge Fencing
Pool L 2:5 COX Luis 3 U 2 Forge Fencing
Pool L 2:5 MOL Justin 2 U 1 Forge Fencing Teams
Pool L 1:5 SHIM Tristan 8 U 10 Forge Fencing / (none)
Pool W 5:1 GASTOL Katelyn 15 U 14 Forge Fencing Teams 949 1011 42.7 53%
Pool W 5:2 MUELLER Sarah 6 U 7 Forge Fencing Teams 1121 1053 52.6 46%
Pool W 5:0 BERTRAND Mack 14 U 13 Forge Fencing
T16 L 13:15 CRAIN Bennett 10 U 8 Forge Fencing

NC Junior Olympic Qualifers

Cadet Women's Saber (E1, CDT), November 20, 2022
Place 4, Seed 5, Not ranked, Rating U, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 4:5 MUELLER Sarah 7 U 2 Forge Fencing Teams 1168 1017 58.4 41%
Pool W 5:2 HUANG Neila 3 U 7 Forge Fencing Teams 1805 959 153.0 10%
Pool L 1:5 CARTER Keely 1 E22 5 Research Triangle Fencing 1670 1112 26.2 19%
Pool L 4:5 WANG Caroline 4 U 3 Forge Fencing Teams 1677 1086 23.4 18%
Pool L 0:5 HUCHWAJDA Pola 6 U 1 Research Triangle Fencing 2146 1062 7.1 5%
Pool L 3:5 GERASIMOVA Valeria 8 U 6 Cape Fear Fencing Association / Forge Fencing Teams 1224 1055 44.3 40%
T8 W 15:13 GERASIMOVA Valeria 8 U 6 Cape Fear Fencing Association / Forge Fencing Teams 1267 1594 125.1 66%
T4 L 11:15 MUELLER Sarah 7 U 2 Forge Fencing Teams 1784 1719 139.8 47%

NC Junior Olympic Qualifers

Junior Women's Saber (E1, JNR), November 20, 2022
Place 8, Seed 6, Not ranked, Rating U, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:4 ZENG Gina 7 U 10 Forge Fencing Teams 772 1131 59.2 68%
Pool L 2:5 WUNNAVA Ellora 11 U 3 Forge Fencing Teams 1520 1190 60.5 31%
Pool L 2:5 GERASIMOVA Valeria 3 U 6 Cape Fear Fencing Association / Forge Fencing Teams 1179 1129 80.7 47%
Pool L 2:5 CARTER Keely 2 E22 2 Research Triangle Fencing 1645 1049 31.5 18%
T16 W 15:9 MUELLER Sarah 8 U 9 Forge Fencing Teams 1601 1482 252.7 45%
T8 L 7:15 CARTER Keely 2 E22 2 Research Triangle Fencing 2140 1735 140.4 30%

Forge Fencing Priority on Youth #1 of 5

Junior Mixed Saber (U, JNR), October 22, 2022
Place 2, Seed 5, Not ranked, Rating U, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:4 CRAIN Bennett 4 U 3 Forge Fencing
Pool L 0:5 EYSTER Edison 3 U 1 Forge Fencing Teams
Pool W 5:1 BERTRAND Mack 2 U 6 Forge Fencing
Pool W 5:2 RICHMAN Izak 6 U 3 Forge Fencing
Pool W 5:0 BERTRAND Rue 1 U 5 Forge Fencing
T4 W 15:8 CRAIN Bennett 4 U 3 Forge Fencing
T2 L 10:15 EYSTER Edison 3 U 1 Forge Fencing Teams

Fairfax Challenge Fall RYC/RJCC & Y8 (Non-Regional)

Cadet Women's Saber (D1, CDT), September 10, 2022
Place 26, Seed 19, Not ranked, Rating U, Mid-South Fencers' Club
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 0:5 FESTA Carina 2 65 D22 1 Bergen Fencing Club 2412 1511 47.0 11%
Pool L 0:5 CANSECO Carly 9 E22 10 Capital Fencing Academy 2006 1464 81.0 22%
Pool L 1:5 BERNARD Kathryn 20 U 18 Triple Threat Fencing Academy 1835 1383 81.6 26%
Pool L 1:5 CARTER Keely 24 U 12 Research Triangle Fencing 1631 1301 86.1 32%
Pool L 1:5 XU Emily T. 11 E22 16 Miracle Fencing Club 2114 1215 26.8 9%
Pool L 2:5 LATYSHAVA Stephanie 14 U 21 Nazlymov Fencing Foundation 1659 1188 57.7 24%
T32 L 4:15 FAN Grace 10 E22 11 Columbus International Fencing Academy 2214 1666 184.2 26%

"The Big Blue" 3 Weapon Open & Youth 12

Senior Women's Saber (D1, SNR), August 28, 2022
Place 12, Seed 12, Not ranked, Rating U, Forge Fencing Teams
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 0:5 ZEGERS Anneke E. 1 A21 1 Premier Fencing Academy 3294 2500 256.4 22%
Pool L 1:5 WANG Caroline 15 U 10 Forge Fencing Teams 1662 2244 661.4 74%
Pool W 5:0 GASTOL Katelyn 6 U 15 Forge Fencing Teams 1529 1582 224.2 52%
Pool L 4:5 XIE Nora 7 U 11 Forge Fencing Teams 1560 1806 295.7 63%
T16 L 6:15 WUNNAVA Elina 9 U 6 Forge Fencing Teams 1832 2500 833.9 74%