The Southern RYC/RJCC/ROC (D1A/DV2/VET) & Non-Regional Team

Div II Men's Épée

Sunday, December 18, 2022 at 12:00 PM

John T. Rhodes Myrtle Beach Sports Center - Myrtle Beach, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUTTO Joshua 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
2 WANG Maxwell L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
3 SNYDER Ari 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
3 CLICK Tristan 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
5 RACHEL Dylan 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
6 TIKHONOV Iliya 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
7 ZIMINSKY Karel M. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
8 SLOUGH Sean 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
9 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
10 DUBE Ian D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
11 WANG Bryan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 11%
12 IFORD Andrew W. 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
13 BUI Henry 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 15% 1%
14 HAN Ethan 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
15 PATEL Kushal 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
16 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
17 SCHARF Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
18 CHUNG Joshua 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
19 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 6%
20 JUNG Joshua 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
21 ALLEY Everett T 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 6%
22 DILLE Brice 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
23 SHAFRITZ Noah 100% 81% 45% 15% 3% - -
24 SAKO Ayrton J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 7%
25 PAVLINEC John (Jack) C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
26 HEINZE Luke H. 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 5% -
27 SINGH Ravin 100% 99% 91% 67% 35% 10% 1%
28 PAPPAS Brian 100% 98% 84% 56% 24% 6% 1%
29 HONG Ryan 100% 96% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
30 CHOI David 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
31 SCHIAVONE Oreste 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
32 MALONE Jacob 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
33 ZHANG Caden 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
34 AWAN Saqlain A. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 21%
35 PAL Ian K. 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
36 RUSSELL Tallis 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
37 ACKLAND Matthew 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
38 CUI Jack 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
39 NICKERSON Oliver 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
40 CRAWFORD Charles (Marston) M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
40 TSAI Caleb 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
42 SMALLWOOD Jaylon 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 26% 5%
43 CHOI Adam 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
44 DECKER Carlton 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 12% 2%
45 JUNG Elliot 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
46 KE Sebastian 100% 89% 45% 11% 1% - -
47 DAN Rex 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
47 KIM Jeff 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
49 HU Robert J. 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
50 COCHRAN Keith M. 100% 89% 49% 15% 2% - -
51 MUELLER Will 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
52 RUIZ Jayden 100% 67% 23% 4% - - -
53 MCDANIEL Eamon 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% -
54 ZHANG Sen 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
55 RUSSELL James 100% 98% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
56 SMITH Christopher 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
57 JONES Jackson 100% 98% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
58 PAK Joel 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
59 CHILDS Edward B. 100% 96% 76% 42% 15% 3% -
59 HONG Robin 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
61 DAILEY John 100% 94% 68% 27% 5% - -
62 DAVIS Kelly 100% 89% 58% 25% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.