RCFC "Home for the Holidays" Open

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, December 18, 2022 at 10:00 AM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
2 HAYES Nadia 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
3 GELLER Adam T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 2%
3 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
5 MCINTOSH Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
6 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 36%
7 KIM Andrew J. 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10%
8 BERK Theo 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 9%
9 SHAJI Karthik 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 15%
10 SEIDL Cassidy M. 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
11 STACKHOUSE Andre L. 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
12 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 100% 93% 55% 14% 1%
13 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16% 1%
14 WEI Qiancheng 100% 100% 96% 68% 23% 3%
15 GUTIERREZ Nikolai A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 25%
16 VALENTINE Iain 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6% -
17 GRANHOLM Carolyn 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 44% 7%
18 TANG Julian 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
19 STACKHOUSE Nina L. 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1%
20 DONG Quintin 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
21 YAN Noelle 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 6% -
22 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 26% 4%
23 LEE Jayden 100% 92% 56% 19% 3% - -
24 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
25 LIU Aaron Zixian 100% 97% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
26 KLEIN Johannes 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3% -
27 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
28 TROXEL Sylvie A. 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 2%
29 GELLER Daniel 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2% -
30 COSGROVE Jameson 100% 98% 61% 19% 3% - -
31 BEAVER Hannah 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
32 NISTER Jonathan 100% 91% 59% 23% 4% - -
33 SPROWLES Cameron D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 37% 3%
34 FECAROTTA Ryan 100% 29% 2% - - -
35 CHRISTIAN Jonathan 100% 99% 85% 48% 14% 2% -
36 HARROCH Faustin 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
37 POWERS Doug A. 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
38 ROSSMAN Brock 100% 83% 22% 2% - -
39 VALENTINE Eoin 100% 52% 13% 1% - - -
40 SCHULTZ Nomi 100% 24% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.