Charlie's Birthday Bash

Div II Mixed Foil

Sunday, December 18, 2022 at 3:00 PM

York Fencing Club - York, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SMITH Scott 100% 89% 47% 13% 2% -
2 HINTON Nickolys R. 100% 95% 69% 25% 3%
3 KLEBS Robert 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 3%
3 CHOO Christopher Y. 100% 93% 65% 25% 4% -
5 HAAS Claire 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
6 ALLEN Charlie R. 100% 100% 95% 68% 21%
7 MOSIER Logan 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 7%
8 HUEY Curtis E. 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 10%
9 STAMMERS Milo 100% 70% 23% 4% - < 1%
10 ROSA II Carl D. 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 8%
11 SALISBURY Jacob 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 6%
12 WAGNER Elijah 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
13 BEASLEY Bradley 100% 82% 41% 10% 1%
14 SOHN Theo 100% 81% 40% 10% 1%
15 DE BRUIN Peter 100% 99% 85% 47% 12% 1%
16 HAMMONDS Carissa 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
17 SONI Sumeir 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
18 HENNING Owen 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
19 GRIETZER Elizabeth 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
20 MANN Adrien 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2%
21 NAUGHTON Aidan 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
22 ALLEN Augustus 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
22 MISHRA Oorja 100% 86% 52% 18% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.