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Maria Panyi (1), Andrey Geva (2), Igor Chirashnya (3), and Sue Moheb (4).

The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Saturday, December 17, 2022 at 9:00 AM

The Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BECKMAN Ana - - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
2 YILMAZ Pinar - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 11%
3 HSIU Elizabeth - - - 4% 25% 54% 17%
3 SUN Hanya - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
5 SHIV Avni - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
6 LIN Ariel - - 5% 23% 40% 27% 5%
7 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) - - - - 4% 33% 63%
8 HUANG Lanlan - - - 4% 19% 42% 33%
9 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. - - - 2% 13% 42% 43%
10 YOUNG VIVIAN - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
11 GUO Luxi - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 8%
12 NGUYEN Jolie T. - - 2% 14% 36% 37% 11%
13 KUDRYAVTSEVA Margarita - 1% 6% 23% 36% 27% 7%
14 VAN VACTER Madelynn - 1% 6% 21% 38% 29% 6%
15 WANG Victoria - 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5%
16 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
17 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
18 CHUANG Ramona 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1%
19 BEAVER Ava - - - 3% 19% 43% 35%
20 QIAN Irene - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 12%
21 WALLER DEL VALLE Alanis - 3% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
22 QI Julieanne - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15% 2%
23 KANASKAR Ila 1% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2% -
24 SUN Zeyu - - 4% 18% 38% 33% 7%
25 STERR Isabella M. - - 1% 8% 30% 44% 16%
26 WANG Ziqiao - 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
27 KUMAR Anusha - - 4% 15% 33% 35% 13%
28 LISCUM Vivian - 5% 22% 39% 27% 7%
29 JAMES Ashley 4% 25% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
30 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 1% 13% 36% 34% 13% 2% -
31 NAIR Supriya - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
32 XU Celina 2% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1%
33 ABUELFUTUH Sama - 2% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
34 STERN Savannah 1% 13% 40% 33% 11% 1% -
35 IYER Ishana 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
36 XU Serena - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
37 KALGAONKAR Arohi 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
38 CHANG Abigail 1% 19% 39% 29% 10% 1% -
39 VALDEZ Emma 4% 27% 40% 22% 6% 1% -
40 LIANG Jingjing 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
41 TOFFELMIRE Audrey E. - 7% 30% 39% 20% 4% -
42 CHEN Alina 5% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
43 HALE Avery 7% 33% 38% 18% 4% -
44 HOLDEN Helena 49% 39% 11% 1% - -
45 MCQUEEN Morgan 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 4% -
45 PARK elli 15% 43% 32% 9% 1% - -
47 WANG Sara 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
48 ZHAN Clare 26% 46% 23% 5% - - -
49 PETROFF Eva 2% 17% 36% 32% 12% 1% -
50 CASTANO Helena - 1% 7% 25% 39% 25% 4%
51 SUN Karolyn 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
52 WU Jessica - 3% 19% 40% 29% 8% 1%
53 LEE Yeriel - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
54 BEATIE Isabella M. 2% 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% -
55 WANG Emma 4% 26% 40% 24% 6% - -
55 ZHAO Yanning 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
57 XU Jessica 1% 12% 31% 35% 17% 4% -
58 TAMIR Annika 2% 15% 39% 33% 11% 1% -
59 TISHKOVA-ROBERTS Daria 6% 45% 37% 11% 1% - -
60 WANG Cecilia 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
61 ZHANG Helen 50% 38% 11% 1% - - -
62 SCOTT Marley 45% 42% 12% 1% - - -
63 BRUMMETT Anna 3% 22% 40% 27% 7% 1% -
64 KELLEY Kelleah 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
65 DESAI Eesha 14% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
66 FENNO Kennedy 69% 27% 4% - - - -
67 BRUMMETT Erin 4% 21% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
68 RANDOLPH Bethany 80% 18% 1% - - - -
69 KELLEY Dessa 70% 27% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.