The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Saturday, December 17, 2022 at 9:00 AM

The Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BECKMAN Ana 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
2 YILMAZ Pinar 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
3 HSIU Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 17%
3 SUN Hanya 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
5 SHIV Avni 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
6 LIN Ariel 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 5%
7 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 63%
8 HUANG Lanlan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 33%
9 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
10 YOUNG VIVIAN 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
11 GUO Luxi 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8%
12 NGUYEN Jolie T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 11%
13 KUDRYAVTSEVA Margarita 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
14 VAN VACTER Madelynn 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 6%
15 WANG Victoria 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
16 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
17 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
18 CHUANG Ramona 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
19 BEAVER Ava 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
20 QIAN Irene 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 12%
21 WALLER DEL VALLE Alanis 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
22 QI Julieanne 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16% 2%
23 KANASKAR Ila 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 2% -
24 SUN Zeyu 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
25 STERR Isabella M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 16%
26 WANG Ziqiao 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8% 1%
27 KUMAR Anusha 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
28 LISCUM Vivian 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 7%
29 JAMES Ashley 100% 96% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
30 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 100% 99% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
31 NAIR Supriya 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
32 XU Celina 100% 98% 79% 41% 11% 1%
33 ABUELFUTUH Sama 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 4%
34 STERN Savannah 100% 99% 86% 46% 12% 2% -
35 IYER Ishana 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
36 XU Serena 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
37 KALGAONKAR Arohi 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
38 CHANG Abigail 100% 99% 80% 40% 11% 2% -
39 VALDEZ Emma 100% 96% 69% 29% 7% 1% -
40 LIANG Jingjing 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
41 TOFFELMIRE Audrey E. 100% 100% 92% 63% 24% 4% -
42 CHEN Alina 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
43 HALE Avery 100% 93% 60% 22% 4% -
44 HOLDEN Helena 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
45 MCQUEEN Morgan 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 4% -
45 PARK elli 100% 85% 42% 11% 1% - -
47 WANG Sara 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
48 ZHAN Clare 100% 74% 28% 5% - - -
49 PETROFF Eva 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 1% -
50 CASTANO Helena 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 4%
51 SUN Karolyn 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
52 WU Jessica 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 9% 1%
53 LEE Yeriel 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
54 BEATIE Isabella M. 100% 98% 80% 42% 13% 2% -
55 WANG Emma 100% 96% 70% 30% 6% - -
55 ZHAO Yanning 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
57 XU Jessica 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
58 TAMIR Annika 100% 98% 84% 45% 12% 1% -
59 TISHKOVA-ROBERTS Daria 100% 94% 49% 12% 1% - -
60 WANG Cecilia 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
61 ZHANG Helen 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
62 SCOTT Marley 100% 55% 13% 1% - - -
63 BRUMMETT Anna 100% 97% 75% 35% 8% 1% -
64 KELLEY Kelleah 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
65 DESAI Eesha 100% 86% 48% 16% 3% - -
66 FENNO Kennedy 100% 31% 4% - - - -
67 BRUMMETT Erin 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
68 RANDOLPH Bethany 100% 20% 1% - - - -
69 KELLEY Dessa 100% 30% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.