The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Saturday, December 17, 2022 at 9:00 AM

The Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PLUMMER Kellan - 2% 10% 28% 38% 20% 1%
2 LIU Austin 3% 19% 37% 31% 10% -
3 DING Max - 6% 27% 44% 20% 2%
3 XUE Michael 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 8%
5 VEERAVALLI Pranav 1% 14% 39% 36% 10% 1%
6 CHIANG William 4% 23% 42% 25% 6% -
7 LI Stephen 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
8 DU Evan 3% 18% 38% 32% 9% 1%
9 WU Nathan - 2% 11% 29% 34% 20% 4%
10 CHEN Daniel 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
11 ROBERTS Arthur 2% 11% 26% 31% 21% 8% 1%
12 MA Nolan - 2% 13% 38% 40% 7%
13 WU MiEr 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% < 1%
14 YOON Jonathan 8% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% < 1%
15 CHEN Aiden - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
16 HANTOV Adrian 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 7%
17 KIM Evan 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
18 DESAI Adithya - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
19 GEVA Reuben - - 2% 12% 40% 47%
20 FULKERSON Charles - - 2% 18% 57% 22%
21 KICIMAN Leo 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
22 THOMSON Piers - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
23 FRENCH Drake - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 13%
24 LIU Aiden 6% 30% 39% 20% 5% -
25 LI Bryan 2% 10% 25% 32% 23% 8% 1%
26 MA kevin 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
27 KHALID Ilyas 1% 12% 30% 34% 18% 5% -
28 ZHAN ETHAN 23% 43% 28% 6% - -
29 YUE Bryan 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
30 GOLDBERG Simon 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
31 BALLEZA Maximilian - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
32 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
33 LOGEROT Henry 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
34 XU Kevin - 5% 25% 43% 23% 4%
35 BERNIER Landyn - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
36 STEPHANIAN Ethan - 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
37 HOLDEN Harrison - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
38 THOMSON Ford - 2% 13% 37% 39% 9%
39 INGLE Emerson - 3% 22% 40% 28% 7%
40 WERLE James 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
41 YANG Rony 44% 41% 13% 2% - -
42 WALKER Beckett 17% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
43 HARGROVE Max - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
44 KIM Benjamin 55% 35% 9% 1% - - -
45 CHEN Linus 1% 18% 39% 31% 10% 1%
46 FRENCH Luke 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
47 HURT Myles 1% 16% 37% 32% 12% 2%
48 KAPP Eamon 1% 13% 48% 30% 7% 1% -
49 TAN Samuel 54% 36% 8% 1% - -
49 LOEGERING Ryder < 1% 8% 42% 38% 11% 1%
51 REICHLE Jude < 1% 8% 31% 43% 16% 2% -
52 BARCLAY Max 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.